Happy Valley · 2022-09-21 · 21:51
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-09-21 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. THE ANOMALY, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by K H Ting, won by N, with PACKING FAMOUS second and MAJESTIC VICTORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite STORM LEGEND finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | THE ANOMALY Closed strongly V 1.39.51 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 6 | 7.2 | N |
| 2 | 5 | PACKING FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 5 | 5.3 | N |
| 3 | 6 | MAJESTIC VICTORY TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 4 | 19.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | GIFT OF LIFELINE Closed strongly B S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 2 | 8.6 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | COPARTNER ELITES CP/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 3 | 4.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | STORM LEGEND J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 3.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | MY ECSTATIC Led early TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 6.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | ROBOT WARRIOR B L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 9 | 22.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | INCANTO PREPARED E/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 7 | 22.0 | 4-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MY ECSTATIC | 21.3% | 4.69 | 7 |
| 2 | 1 | COPARTNER ELITES | 16.7% | 5.99 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 13.1% | 7.64 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | STORM LEGEND | 10.8% | 9.25 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | THE ANOMALY | 8.8% | 11.41 | 1 |
| 6 | 6 | MAJESTIC VICTORY | 8.4% | 11.85 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | PACKING FAMOUS | 7.8% | 12.85 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | ROBOT WARRIOR | 6.8% | 14.75 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | INCANTO PREPARED | 6.3% | 15.83 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 72
PLACE
5 18.5
6 49.5
9 23.5
QUINELLA
5,9 174.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 145.5
5,9 69
6,9 157.5
FORECAST
9,5 332
TIERCE
9,5,6 4,529
TRIO
5,6,9 973
FIRST 4
4,5,6,9 1,509
QUARTET
9,5,6,4 25,958
All pools (5 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
10,11>3,6/5,6,9 82,316
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 35.5
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
11/5 96.5
11/9 702.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,9,10/10,11>3,6/5,6,9 30,324,969
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,9,10/10,11>3,6/Any Combination 23,805