Happy Valley · 2022-10-05 · 18:46

Race 1

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1000m Course C+3 7 runners

Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2022-10-05 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PING HAI GALAXY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with SEIZING THE MOMENT second and HEROIC MASTER third. The 2.4 favourite EQUALETTA BLITZ finished 5th.

Result

Official · 0.56.33

Pos	No.	Horse	Jockey	Trainer	Draw	Weight	Odds	Margin
1	3	PING HAI GALAXY 0.56.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size	Z Purton	J Size	1	131 lb	4.1	1/2
2	2	SEIZING THE MOMENT B V Borges · J Size	V Borges	J Size	2	134 lb	17.0	1/2
3	5	HEROIC MASTER TT1 K C Leung · F C Lor	K C Leung	F C Lor	7	119 lb	7.3	3/4
4	6	SUPER AXIOM H/P/TT H N Wong · Y S Tsui	H N Wong	Y S Tsui	4	114 lb	11.0	1-1/2
5	1	EQUALETTA BLITZ B/H L Hewitson · D J Whyte	L Hewitson	D J Whyte	6	135 lb	2.4	1-1/2
6	4	PARTY WARRIOR CP-/H C Y Ho · K W Lui	C Y Ho	K W Lui	3	130 lb	5.7	2
7	7	AWESOME TREASURE TT2 M F Poon · D A Hayes	M F Poon	D A Hayes	5	114 lb	10.0	3

Race shape

Beaten lengths

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23

The model's top pick PING HAI GALAXY (27.3%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.

Rank	No.	Horse	Win %	Rated price	Pos	Final odds
1	3	PING HAI GALAXY	27.3%	3.67	1	4.1
2	4	PARTY WARRIOR	24.7%	4.04	6	5.7
3	1	EQUALETTA BLITZ	18.5%	5.42	5	2.4
4	7	AWESOME TREASURE	9.4%	10.64	7	10.0
5	2	SEIZING THE MOMENT	8.7%	11.48	2	17.0
6	5	HEROIC MASTER	7.0%	14.26	3	7.3
7	6	SUPER AXIOM	4.4%	22.76	4	11.0

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 41

PLACE

2 33

3 15.5

5 23

QUINELLA

2,3 262.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 76.5

2,5 122

3,5 52.5

FORECAST

3,2 538

TIERCE

3,2,5 2,420

TRIO

2,3,5 345

FIRST 4

2,3,5,6 892

QUARTET

3,2,5,6 21,145

All pools (1 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 15

A2 —

Race 2 → This meeting Draw bias · Happy Valley 1000m Need this as data? Full results archive from $99