Happy Valley · 2022-10-05 · 22:18
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2022-10-05 was Class 4 over 1200m. SIGHT HERO, ridden by L Currie and trained by D A Hayes, won by N, with BRAVE STAR second and MEGA BONUS third. The 3.0 favourite MY INTELLIGENT finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SIGHT HERO B/TT 1.09.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 7 | 15.0 | N |
| 2 | 6 | BRAVE STAR H-/SR- C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 6 | 87.0 | N |
| 3 | 5 | MEGA BONUS CP-/XB-/V1 V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 4 | 4.2 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | ABOVE ALL H/XB R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 2 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | HAPPY SOUL CP/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 12 | 27.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | TURIN WARRIOR B/XB M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 5 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | MY INTELLIGENT V1/TT M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 3 | 3.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | OUR CLASS ACT H K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 8 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | COLOURFUL PRINCE H/SR/TT K H Chan · D J Whyte | K H Chan | D J Whyte | 9 | 31.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | HAPPY FOREVER XB/TT L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 1 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | GANG OF BROTHERS V C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 11 | 9.1 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | GEM OF SOUTH CHINA M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 10 | 17.0 | 22 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | MY INTELLIGENT | 16.9% | 5.93 | 7 |
| 2 | 5 | MEGA BONUS | 16.4% | 6.10 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | GANG OF BROTHERS | 13.6% | 7.33 | 11 |
| 4 | 1 | ABOVE ALL | 9.7% | 10.28 | 4 |
| 5 | 12 | COLOURFUL PRINCE | 7.6% | 13.23 | 9 |
| 6 | 4 | GEM OF SOUTH CHINA | 7.0% | 14.32 | 12 |
| 7 | 7 | OUR CLASS ACT | 6.4% | 15.51 | 8 |
| 8 | 3 | TURIN WARRIOR | 6.4% | 15.73 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | SIGHT HERO | 5.3% | 18.92 | 1 |
| 10 | 11 | HAPPY SOUL | 5.2% | 19.36 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | HAPPY FOREVER | 3.7% | 27.11 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | BRAVE STAR | 1.9% | 52.60 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 159.5
PLACE
5 17.5
6 210.5
8 41
QUINELLA
6,8 4,980
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 812
5,8 115.5
6,8 1,224
FORECAST
8,6 7,504
TIERCE
8,6,5 66,407
TRIO
5,6,8 12,936
FIRST 4
1,5,6,8 14,298
QUARTET
8,6,5,1 477,480
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 38.5
A3 —
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
5/6 721
5/8 839.5