Happy Valley · 2022-10-05 · 19:46
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NOBLE STEED Closed strongly B- 1.39.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 1 | 12.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | AMIGOS GIGGLE Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 2 | 1.9 | N |
| 3 | 0 | JADE PHOENIX CP/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SUNNY DELIGHT Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 8 | 8.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | MORE THAN ENOUGH Led early B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 7 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BIG TWO H/SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 7.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | BABY B V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 6 | 15.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | HOLI MOLI B- M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 3 | 51.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER V- Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 9 | 8.3 | 82 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2022-10-05 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. NOBLE STEED, ridden by M F Poon and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with AMIGOS GIGGLE second and JADE PHOENIX third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.9 favourite AMIGOS GIGGLE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AMIGOS GIGGLE | 29.9% | 3.34 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | NOBLE STEED | 14.2% | 7.05 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | BIG TWO | 13.7% | 7.28 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | BABY | 9.4% | 10.67 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | SUNNY DELIGHT | 9.3% | 10.81 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | JADE PHOENIX | 7.6% | 13.17 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 7.5% | 13.36 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 7.1% | 14.13 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | HOLI MOLI | 1.4% | 72.55 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 123
PLACE
1 38.5
8 11.5
9 26
QUINELLA
8,9 88
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 67.5
1,9 199
8,9 33.5
FORECAST
9,8 311
TIERCE
9,8,1 2,576
TRIO
1,8,9 316
FIRST 4
1,6,8,9 454
QUARTET
9,8,1,6 13,290
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
3/8 60
3/9 1,227.5
3 PICK 1
A2 29.5
A1 —
A3 —