Happy Valley · 2022-10-05 · 21:16
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NIMBLE NIMBUS Closed strongly V/TT 1.39.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 2 | 3.4 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | STORM LEGEND Closed strongly H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 1 | 3.7 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | KING'S CAPITAL Closed strongly Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 4 | 6.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | VIVA HUNTER L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 6 | 9.4 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | ZONE D Closed strongly H/P/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 8 | 7.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | MASTER HERO Led early XB/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | SAVVY KINGMAN L Hewitson · F C Lor | L Hewitson | F C Lor | 5 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | ROUND THE EARTH Closed strongly B C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 9 | 39.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | ODE TO JOY B-/H/XB/SR1/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 3 | 35.0 | 7 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-10-05 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. NIMBLE NIMBUS, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1, with STORM LEGEND second and KING'S CAPITAL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 29.7% | 3.36 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | KING'S CAPITAL | 19.7% | 5.08 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | VIVA HUNTER | 12.8% | 7.82 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | STORM LEGEND | 12.2% | 8.20 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | ZONE D | 8.9% | 11.25 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | MASTER HERO | 5.9% | 17.09 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | SAVVY KINGMAN | 5.8% | 17.24 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | ODE TO JOY | 3.3% | 30.60 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | ROUND THE EARTH | 1.8% | 56.31 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 34.5
PLACE
4 18.5
7 14.5
8 15
QUINELLA
7,8 59.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 36.5
4,8 29
7,8 25
FORECAST
7,8 143
TIERCE
7,8,4 414
TRIO
4,7,8 90
FIRST 4
4,6,7,8 160
QUARTET
7,8,4,6 2,248
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 18
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
5/7 612.5
5/8 93