Happy Valley · 2022-10-05 · 20:16
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PASSING FASHION Closed strongly XB/TT 1.40.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 5 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO Closed strongly B1 M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 12 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION B/H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 4.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE Closed strongly PC/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 8 | 6.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SPEED FORCE B V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 3 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR Closed strongly A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 7 | 32.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | THE JOLLY Led early B-/VO1/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MISTER ARM M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 10 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD B/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 4 | 3.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | BEST FOR YOU Closed strongly B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 9 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | LEISURE AND GOLD Closed strongly H- C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 11 | 59.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | FELIX THE KING CP/TT L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 2 | 29.0 | 5-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2022-10-05 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PASSING FASHION, ridden by R Maia and trained by C H Yip, won by 1-1/4, with CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO second and LOYAL AMBITION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite PAKISTAN ZINDABAD finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD | 21.5% | 4.66 | 9 |
| 2 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION | 19.9% | 5.03 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE | 9.5% | 10.53 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | PASSING FASHION | 8.3% | 12.04 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | THE JOLLY | 7.6% | 13.14 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | MISTER ARM | 7.5% | 13.33 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO | 7.4% | 13.44 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | FELIX THE KING | 6.2% | 16.11 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | BEST FOR YOU | 4.5% | 22.32 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | SPEED FORCE | 3.8% | 26.53 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR | 2.5% | 39.84 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | LEISURE AND GOLD | 1.3% | 75.42 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 126.5
PLACE
4 34
6 54.5
7 15
QUINELLA
4,6 1,070.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 293
4,7 82
6,7 132
FORECAST
4,6 2,049
TIERCE
4,6,7 7,903
TRIO
4,6,7 1,388
FIRST 4
4,6,7,9 993
QUARTET
4,6,7,9 29,338
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 31.5
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
9/4 1,524
9/6 304