Sha Tin · 2022-11-20 · 13:46
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RUNNING GLORY Closed strongly 1.47.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 1.9 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | RISE BRETHREN Closed strongly TT J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 2 | 5.4 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | FLYING QUEST Closed strongly B L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 1 | 21.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | CELESTIAL POWER Closed strongly V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SIGHT SPIRIT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 7 | 4.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | ENJOYING B/TT S De Sousa · W Y So | S De Sousa | W Y So | 5 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT Led early CP/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 10 | 27.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | BERLIN TANGO B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 9 | 46.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPERBELLA B/TT M Barzalona · F C Lor | M Barzalona | F C Lor | 8 | 55.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | CHARITY GO SR J McNeil · C S Shum | J McNeil | C S Shum | 6 | 48.0 | 5-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-11-20 was Class 2 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. RUNNING GLORY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 1, with RISE BRETHREN second and FLYING QUEST third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.9 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RUNNING GLORY | 24.0% | 4.17 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | RISE BRETHREN | 22.5% | 4.45 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | SIGHT SPIRIT | 9.3% | 10.76 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | CELESTIAL POWER | 8.8% | 11.33 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | ENJOYING | 7.7% | 13.05 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT | 6.2% | 16.23 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | BERLIN TANGO | 6.1% | 16.48 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | FLYING QUEST | 5.8% | 17.35 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | CHARITY GO | 5.5% | 18.20 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPERBELLA | 4.3% | 23.30 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 19
PLACE
2 12
4 15.5
10 34.5
QUINELLA
2,4 43.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 20.5
2,10 46
4,10 87
FORECAST
2,4 64
TIERCE
2,4,10 509
TRIO
2,4,10 155
FIRST 4
2,3,4,10 189
QUARTET
2,4,10,3 1,781
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
10/2 235
10/4 89
3 PICK 1
A1 14
A3 —
A2 —