Sha Tin · 2022-11-20 · 17:23
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ORIENTAL SMOKE B 1.08.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 4 | 4.5 | NOSE |
| 2 | 0 | CAMPIONE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 8.3 | NOSE |
| 4 | 0 | APACHE PASS BO/XB K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 1 | 30.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | EQUALETTA BLITZ B/H J McNeil · D J Whyte | J McNeil | D J Whyte | 11 | 92.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | IMA SINGLE MAN H/TT S De Sousa · A S Cruz | S De Sousa | A S Cruz | 3 | 3.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | PACKING VICTORY TT J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 5 | 7.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | TORONADO PHANTOM TT M Barzalona · J Size | M Barzalona | J Size | 6 | 34.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | SILVER FIG B/TT L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 9 | 106.0 | 8 |
| — | 0 | VIVA CHALEUR TT1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | — | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| — | 0 | LUCKY WITH YOU H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | — | 8.9 | HD |
| — | 0 | FANTASTIC WAY A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 7.7 | — |
| — | 0 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 2 | 101.0 | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-11-20 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ORIENTAL SMOKE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by NOSE, with CAMPIONE second and APACHE PASS third. The 3.0 favourite IMA SINGLE MAN finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 31.3% | 3.19 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 16.2% | 6.18 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | APACHE PASS | 12.4% | 8.04 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 11.4% | 8.77 | — |
| 5 | 0 | PACKING VICTORY | 8.9% | 11.26 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | CAMPIONE | 6.9% | 14.47 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | EQUALETTA BLITZ | 4.6% | 21.81 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | VIVA CHALEUR | 3.5% | 28.37 | — |
| 9 | 0 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 2.8% | 35.77 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | SILVER FIG | 2.0% | 51.19 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 45.5
PLACE
1 28
2 27
9 18
QUINELLA
1,9 210.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 124.5
1,9 76.5
2,9 64.5
FORECAST
9,1 348
TIERCE
9,1,2 3,015
TRIO
1,2,9 713
FIRST 4
1,2,8,9 2,629
QUARTET
9,1,2,8 27,353
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 20.5
8TH DOUBLE
1/1 61.5
1/9 128