Sha Tin · 2022-11-20 · 16:48
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR Closed strongly TT 1.59.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 9 | 2.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 1 | 8.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SENOR TOBA Closed strongly V/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 9.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | KA YING STAR V/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 5 | 58.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | MONEY CATCHER Led early B H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 2 | 20.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | PANFIELD Closed strongly TT S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 8 | 26.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SAVVY NINE B/XB J McNeil · D J Whyte | J McNeil | D J Whyte | 6 | 70.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR SR B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 7 | 15.0 | 6-3/4 |
| — | 0 | BEAUTY JOY H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | — | 2.9 | 4-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-11-20 was Group 2 over 2000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ROMANTIC WARRIOR, ridden by J McDonald and trained by C S Shum, won by 1-1/4, with TOURBILLON DIAMOND second and SENOR TOBA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY JOY | 30.8% | 3.25 | — |
| 2 | 0 | MONEY CATCHER | 14.8% | 6.76 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR | 14.8% | 6.76 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | SENOR TOBA | 11.5% | 8.73 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | PANFIELD | 8.1% | 12.31 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND | 8.1% | 12.31 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR | 4.6% | 21.54 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | KA YING STAR | 4.0% | 24.79 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | SAVVY NINE | 3.3% | 30.71 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 22
PLACE
1 12
4 19
6 20
QUINELLA
1,4 86
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 33
1,6 34
4,6 63
FORECAST
1,4 116
TIERCE
1,4,6 555
TRIO
1,4,6 184
FIRST 4
1,4,5,6 907
QUARTET
1,4,6,5 7,937
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 12.5
A3 —
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
1/1 35.5
1/4 31