Sha Tin · 2022-12-04 · 13:01
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-12-04 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. THE MULTIPLIER, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D A Hayes, won by 3-1/4, with GOLD COMET second and TELECOM MISSILE third. The 3.0 favourite DIAMOND SOARS finished 10th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | THE MULTIPLIER B/TT 1.08.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 6 | 3.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | GOLD COMET B V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 10 | 21.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | TELECOM MISSILE B/TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 3 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | GOLDEN MISSION B/TT S De Sousa · C W Chang | S De Sousa | C W Chang | 9 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | DASHING GENIUS TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 11 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | SUPER CLASS B-/XB/H1/P1 H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 8 | 34.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | TSUEN WAN GLORY H/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 1 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | COLOURFUL PRINCE H/SR/TT Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 5 | 5.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | EMBARKED B/XB1/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 12 | 74.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 1 | DIAMOND SOARS H/TT Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 4 | 3.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | BEAUTY NOVA H/P2/TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 7 | 17.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | NOBODY KNOWS V- H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 2 | 74.0 | 15-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | COLOURFUL PRINCE | 24.2% | 4.12 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | DIAMOND SOARS | 18.9% | 5.28 | 10 |
| 3 | 8 | GOLDEN MISSION | 8.8% | 11.37 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | THE MULTIPLIER | 8.4% | 11.87 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | BEAUTY NOVA | 7.6% | 13.10 | 11 |
| 6 | 4 | TELECOM MISSILE | 7.1% | 14.03 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 7.0% | 14.19 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | EMBARKED | 5.0% | 20.10 | 9 |
| 9 | 11 | DASHING GENIUS | 4.5% | 22.02 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | SUPER CLASS | 3.3% | 30.53 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | NOBODY KNOWS | 3.0% | 33.82 | 12 |
| 12 | 9 | GOLD COMET | 2.0% | 49.14 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 37.5
PLACE
4 32.5
5 14.5
9 67
QUINELLA
5,9 621.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 78.5
4,9 385
5,9 183
FORECAST
5,9 1,203
TIERCE
5,9,4 8,923
TRIO
4,5,9 1,699
FIRST 4
4,5,8,9 2,930
QUARTET
5,9,4,8 53,682
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 21.5
A2 —