Sha Tin · 2022-12-04 · 16:06
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HANDSOME TWELVE Closed strongly 1.36.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 2 | 2.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | TRUE LEGEND Led early B Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 12 | 6.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | ROYAL BOMB Closed strongly V/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 10 | 7.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | COPARTNER ELITES Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 1 | 6.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | HAVA NAGEELA Closed strongly B1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 13 | 36.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | YES WE CAN Closed strongly B/TT S De Sousa · T P Yung | S De Sousa | T P Yung | 9 | 5.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | TRADER CP/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 11 | 25.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS H/P/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 6 | 30.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | KING'S CAPITAL Closed strongly L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 7 | 43.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | BEAR SLAM M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 5 | 35.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT B-/E/PC2 V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 8 | 42.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | BULLETPROOF V C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 3 | 173.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | GOLDEN LINK L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 14 | 140.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | ULTRA EXPRESS B/TT L Currie · A T Millard | L Currie | A T Millard | 4 | 92.0 | 12 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-12-04 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. HANDSOME TWELVE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by T P Yung, won by 1/2, with TRUE LEGEND second and ROYAL BOMB third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HANDSOME TWELVE | 30.1% | 3.32 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | YES WE CAN | 22.8% | 4.39 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | TRUE LEGEND | 7.4% | 13.54 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | ROYAL BOMB | 7.1% | 14.15 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | COPARTNER ELITES | 5.1% | 19.50 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAR SLAM | 4.5% | 22.03 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS | 4.5% | 22.32 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | HAVA NAGEELA | 3.5% | 28.98 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | TRADER | 3.1% | 31.83 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | KING'S CAPITAL | 3.1% | 32.59 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | BULLETPROOF | 3.0% | 32.99 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | GOLDEN LINK | 2.3% | 42.82 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT | 2.3% | 43.90 | 11 |
| 14 | 0 | ULTRA EXPRESS | 1.2% | 82.53 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 25
PLACE
1 24.5
5 12.5
6 24.5
QUINELLA
1,5 80.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 40.5
1,6 96
5,6 39.5
FORECAST
5,1 142
TIERCE
5,1,6 704
TRIO
1,5,6 197
FIRST 4
1,3,5,6 277
QUARTET
5,1,6,3 3,607
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,11/1,5,6 207,537
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 14
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
11/1 264
11/5 722.5