Sha Tin · 2022-12-04 · 14:31
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-12-04 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. ICE LEGEND, ridden by K C Leung and trained by T P Yung, won by 1-1/4, with STAND UP second and LIGHT OF WANSHI third. The 2.0 favourite STAND UP finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ICE LEGEND BO/H/TT 1.08.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 10 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | STAND UP S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 7 | 2.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | LIGHT OF WANSHI B/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 4 | 5.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | FLYING BONUS P2 Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 12 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | SMILING COLLECTOR V/XB L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 8 | 27.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | SPONTANEOUS B H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 11 | 9.1 | 4 |
| 7 | 1 | CALL ME TEDDY TT C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 5 | 9.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | BEAUTY CHAMP H-/P-/SR2/XB2/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 1 | 20.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | MIRACLES B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 2 | 16.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 8 | ACE TALENT TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 21.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | WAYFOONG LEGEND CP1/SR1 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 9 | 62.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | BLAZING SUN H/P1/XB1/TT1 L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 3 | 144.0 | 14 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | STAND UP | 19.6% | 5.11 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | LIGHT OF WANSHI | 17.5% | 5.73 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | BEAUTY CHAMP | 9.6% | 10.40 | 8 |
| 4 | 7 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 9.4% | 10.60 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | SPONTANEOUS | 8.6% | 11.63 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | ACE TALENT | 7.3% | 13.72 | 10 |
| 7 | 2 | ICE LEGEND | 6.9% | 14.48 | 1 |
| 8 | 12 | MIRACLES | 6.8% | 14.62 | 9 |
| 9 | 1 | CALL ME TEDDY | 6.2% | 16.11 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | BLAZING SUN | 4.3% | 23.20 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | FLYING BONUS | 2.2% | 45.58 | 4 |
| 12 | 9 | WAYFOONG LEGEND | 1.6% | 63.66 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 172.5
PLACE
2 33.5
3 20
10 11.5
QUINELLA
2,10 150
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 105
2,10 65.5
3,10 35.5
FORECAST
2,10 426
TIERCE
2,10,3 2,887
TRIO
2,3,10 288
FIRST 4
2,3,6,10 1,572
QUARTET
2,10,3,6 47,637
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,12/2,3,10 13,136
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 39.5
3RD DOUBLE
12/2 505
12/10 18