Sha Tin · 2022-12-04 · 17:13
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-12-04 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. AMAZING VICTORY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by L Ho, won by 1-1/2, with CALIFORNIA REDWOOD second and LET'S DO IT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.7 favourite A PAL finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | AMAZING VICTORY Closed strongly H 1.21.68 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | 13 | 9.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | CALIFORNIA REDWOOD Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 6 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 14 | LET'S DO IT Closed strongly K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 10 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | A PAL Closed strongly CP/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 1.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 5 | 86.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | ALL RICHES Led early CP S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 9 | 7.4 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | PARTERRE Y L Chung · A T Millard | Y L Chung | A T Millard | 12 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | CASA COSMO Closed strongly B1/XB1/TT1 C Wong · J Richards | C Wong | J Richards | 14 | 142.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | SAMARKAND H1 C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 7 | 101.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | GOODBAN BANBANBANG Closed strongly TT1 H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 11 | 238.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 13 | TRAVEL GOLF SR/TT1 V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 4 | 149.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | GLOBAL HARMONY CP L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 8 | 18.0 | 10 |
| 13 | 1 | IVY LEAGUE SR1/TT1 L Currie · D J Whyte | L Currie | D J Whyte | 3 | 157.0 | 16-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | JAZZ CLUB B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 22.0 | 28-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | A PAL | 25.0% | 4.00 | 4 |
| 2 | 10 | ALL RICHES | 19.0% | 5.26 | 6 |
| 3 | 3 | AMAZING VICTORY | 14.7% | 6.80 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | PARTERRE | 7.8% | 12.81 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | CALIFORNIA REDWOOD | 6.9% | 14.47 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | GLOBAL HARMONY | 6.0% | 16.55 | 12 |
| 7 | 14 | LET'S DO IT | 5.3% | 19.03 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | SAMARKAND | 3.7% | 26.96 | 9 |
| 9 | 1 | IVY LEAGUE | 3.3% | 30.30 | 13 |
| 10 | 9 | CASA COSMO | 2.9% | 34.98 | 8 |
| 11 | 5 | GOODBAN BANBANBANG | 2.2% | 46.12 | 10 |
| 12 | 13 | TRAVEL GOLF | 1.2% | 80.88 | 11 |
| 13 | 12 | JAZZ CLUB | 1.2% | 86.72 | 14 |
| 14 | 6 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 0.9% | 112.33 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 91.5
PLACE
3 24
8 29
14 35
QUINELLA
3,8 417.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 108.5
3,14 150.5
8,14 168.5
FORECAST
3,8 1,406
TIERCE
3,8,14 6,660
TRIO
3,8,14 928
FIRST 4
2,3,8,14 421
QUARTET
3,8,14,2 23,564
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 33.5
8TH DOUBLE
2/3 302.5
2/8 127