Sha Tin · 2022-12-04 · 15:04
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly XB 1.48.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · C W Chang | S De Sousa | C W Chang | 12 | 5.2 | N |
| 2 | 0 | SKYEY SUPREME Led early B/TT Y L Chung · K W Lui | Y L Chung | K W Lui | 10 | 19.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT B/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 1 | 3.7 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | WINNING STEPS Closed strongly H1/PC1 H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 3 | 169.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | COLOURFUL BARON Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 4 | 124.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 5 | 3.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | CHATER PINS Closed strongly SR M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 13 | 9.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | BOOM ALLIANCE SR/XB/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | DARCI JOY B/TT C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 7 | 44.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | VIVA A LA Closed strongly H/P/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 14 | 42.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SHANGHAI DRAGON B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 11 | 21.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | MISSION BRAVO H/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 2 | 13.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER B/TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 9 | 54.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | MOONLIGHT VISTA H/CP1/TT H N Wong · P C Ng | H N Wong | P C Ng | 8 | 120.0 | 15-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2022-12-04 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by C W Chang, won by N, with SKYEY SUPREME second and LEGION OF MERIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite SUN OF MAKFI finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT | 18.5% | 5.42 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI | 17.9% | 5.60 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 11.3% | 8.88 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | BOOM ALLIANCE | 9.2% | 10.88 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | CHATER PINS | 6.9% | 14.56 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | MISSION BRAVO | 6.6% | 15.18 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | DARCI JOY | 6.5% | 15.28 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | SKYEY SUPREME | 5.1% | 19.57 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | SHANGHAI DRAGON | 4.4% | 22.63 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER | 4.2% | 23.64 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | WINNING STEPS | 3.6% | 27.77 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | VIVA A LA | 3.5% | 28.45 | 10 |
| 13 | 0 | MOONLIGHT VISTA | 1.3% | 77.00 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | COLOURFUL BARON | 1.0% | 95.32 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 52
PLACE
3 45.5
6 17.5
10 16
QUINELLA
3,6 399.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 116.5
3,10 119.5
6,10 35.5
FORECAST
6,3 860
TIERCE
6,3,10 4,272
TRIO
3,6,10 491
FIRST 4
3,6,8,10 15,026
QUARTET
6,3,10,8 261,570
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 20.5
A3 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
2/3 647
2/6 674