Sha Tin · 2022-12-04 · 13:31
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RUN DES RUN Closed strongly TT 1.38.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 13 | 6.7 | N |
| 2 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY Closed strongly B-/V2 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 28.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | SPEED FORCE Closed strongly B- H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 5 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | ASIAN ONE PC-/XB/P1/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 6 | 2.5 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | REGENCY GEM Closed strongly V/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 11 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | BOYS PARTY Closed strongly L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 4.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | WAH MAY LUCK B/TT H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 7 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD Closed strongly B/TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 14 | 22.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | CHARIZARD B/TT L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 3 | 32.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SURE WINNER B/TT1 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 1 | 95.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | BUDDY SPIRIT Closed strongly B-/P1 A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 12 | 82.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | TURF BRILLIANT B K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 2 | 19.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | QUORUM B/TT Y L Chung · R Gibson | Y L Chung | R Gibson | 10 | 41.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | ENCORE Led early TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 8 | 18.0 | 19 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-12-04 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. RUN DES RUN, ridden by C L Chau and trained by T P Yung, won by N, with DAILY BEAUTY second and SPEED FORCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite ASIAN ONE finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ASIAN ONE | 19.2% | 5.20 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | ENCORE | 11.6% | 8.59 | 14 |
| 3 | 0 | BOYS PARTY | 9.5% | 10.51 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD | 8.4% | 11.97 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | TURF BRILLIANT | 8.2% | 12.25 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | RUN DES RUN | 7.1% | 13.99 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | WAH MAY LUCK | 6.5% | 15.49 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | CHARIZARD | 5.6% | 17.85 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | QUORUM | 5.4% | 18.68 | 13 |
| 10 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY | 5.3% | 18.92 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | REGENCY GEM | 4.5% | 22.07 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | SPEED FORCE | 3.9% | 25.44 | 3 |
| 13 | 0 | BUDDY SPIRIT | 2.6% | 38.93 | 11 |
| 14 | 0 | SURE WINNER | 2.2% | 45.05 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 67
PLACE
5 19
10 63.5
14 47.5
QUINELLA
5,10 900.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 206.5
5,14 158
10,14 602.5
FORECAST
5,10 1,947
TIERCE
5,10,14 30,867
TRIO
5,10,14 6,875
FIRST 4
2,5,10,14 3,870
QUARTET
5,10,14,2 159,894
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
5/5 209
5/10 408.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 39.5