Happy Valley · 2023-09-13 · 21:21
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAMERON Closed strongly 1.40.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 4 | 4.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | RED MAJESTY Closed strongly CP-/B2/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 10 | 25.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | SPLENDID LIVING CP/TT Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 8 | 2.5 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | HK DRAGON Closed strongly SR-/V2/TT A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 5 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | EIGHTEEN PALMS B L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 9 | 7.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | CALIFORNIA VOCE TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 1 | 4.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | PERFECT TEAM Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 6 | 47.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | PEGASUS GENERAL Closed strongly V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 7 | 23.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | CHRYSOS Led early B/TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 3 | 47.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | LOYAL BABY TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 2 | 15.0 | 33-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2023-09-13 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. HAMERON, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/2, with RED MAJESTY second and SPLENDID LIVING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite SPLENDID LIVING finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAMERON | 24.9% | 4.02 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SPLENDID LIVING | 19.7% | 5.07 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | CALIFORNIA VOCE | 16.0% | 6.27 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | EIGHTEEN PALMS | 10.4% | 9.62 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | LOYAL BABY | 7.5% | 13.36 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | CHRYSOS | 5.4% | 18.62 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | HK DRAGON | 5.3% | 18.71 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 5.0% | 19.90 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | RED MAJESTY | 3.5% | 28.30 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | PERFECT TEAM | 2.3% | 43.37 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 46
PLACE
2 16
4 13
6 53.5
QUINELLA
2,6 452.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 29.5
2,6 136
4,6 105
FORECAST
2,6 647
TIERCE
2,6,4 2,245
TRIO
2,4,6 265
FIRST 4
2,4,6,7 1,081
QUARTET
2,6,4,7 28,486
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
5/4/2 1,922
5/4/6 1,391
4TH DOUBLE
4/2 222
4/6 278