Happy Valley · 2023-09-13 · 22:22
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT 0.57.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 9 | 8.1 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | HUMBLE STAR SR/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 8 | 15.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | HEROIC MASTER CP1/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 1 | 2.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | ATOMIC FORCE H/XB H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 6 | 26.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | MAGNIAC V/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 3 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 5.2 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS SR/XB H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 7 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER B H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 5 | 104.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | AMAZING ROCKY C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 52.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | PARTY WARRIOR H M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 11 | 80.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER AXIOM H/P/TT Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 2 | 6.9 | 9-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2023-09-13 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. HARMONY N BLESSED, ridden by K C Leung and trained by D A Hayes, won by SH, with HUMBLE STAR second and HEROIC MASTER third. The 2.2 favourite HEROIC MASTER finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HEROIC MASTER | 20.2% | 4.94 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | AMAZING ROCKY | 15.2% | 6.57 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 14.0% | 7.16 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 9.2% | 10.82 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER AXIOM | 9.1% | 11.00 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | MAGNIAC | 7.9% | 12.63 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | HUMBLE STAR | 6.8% | 14.61 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | PARTY WARRIOR | 5.4% | 18.63 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS | 4.8% | 20.84 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | ATOMIC FORCE | 3.9% | 25.88 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 3.5% | 28.89 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 81
PLACE
4 26
6 11
8 31.5
QUINELLA
4,8 405.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 42.5
4,8 122.5
6,8 57
FORECAST
4,8 975
TIERCE
4,8,6 2,837
TRIO
4,6,8 316
FIRST 4
1,4,6,8 1,459
QUARTET
4,8,6,1 49,799
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
10/4 1,989.5
10/8 748.5