Happy Valley · 2023-09-27 · 19:16
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE Closed strongly PC/TT 1.39.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 6 | 3.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | EAGLE RUN Led early SR/CP1/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 8 | 32.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 1 | 6.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE H-/PC-/XB1/B2/TT- Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 4 | 1.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR Closed strongly CP/H/TT A Atzeni · A S Cruz | A Atzeni | A S Cruz | 7 | 62.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | PERFECT ROCK M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 3 | 26.0 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | BRILLIANT EIGHT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 2 | 10.0 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | BROTHER PEARL B Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 5 | 17.0 | 10-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-09-27 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. MEDIC ELITE, ridden by A Badel and trained by P C Ng, won by 1-1/2, with EAGLE RUN second and FAITHFUL TRINITY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.9 favourite RIGHT HONOURABLE finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 31.4% | 3.18 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE | 25.5% | 3.93 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 18.8% | 5.33 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | BROTHER PEARL | 7.9% | 12.58 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | EAGLE RUN | 7.0% | 14.30 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | BRILLIANT EIGHT | 5.0% | 20.19 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | PERFECT ROCK | 3.0% | 33.10 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR | 1.4% | 70.58 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 33.5
PLACE
4 17
6 44
7 12.5
QUINELLA
6,7 327.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 171.5
4,7 29.5
6,7 73.5
FORECAST
7,6 539
TIERCE
7,6,4 3,011
TRIO
4,6,7 532
FIRST 4
1,4,6,7 115
QUARTET
7,6,4,1 5,330
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/6 114.5
1/7 59