Happy Valley · 2023-09-27 · 20:46
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | M UNICORN Closed strongly H/P/TT 1.39.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 10 | 6.3 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | WINNING DATA Closed strongly B2 K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 3 | 49.0 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | CELTIC TIMES XB-/B/TT Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 1 | 3.8 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | AMAZING BOY Closed strongly TT K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 4 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CONCERTO Closed strongly XB/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 6 | 3.9 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | KASA PAPA Closed strongly B1/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | SPANGLE FORTUNE CP/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 45.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE B/XB L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 9 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | FLYING SILVER CP-/B1/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 5 | 5.1 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT Closed strongly A Atzeni · Y S Tsui | A Atzeni | Y S Tsui | 2 | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | MAXIMIZE HEART Closed strongly M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 11 | 31.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | MULTIWIN Led early H/B2 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 98.0 | 8 |
| — | 0 | BEAU GOSSE Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2023-09-27 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. M UNICORN, ridden by H Bentley and trained by C Fownes, won by 3, with WINNING DATA second and CELTIC TIMES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite CELTIC TIMES finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CELTIC TIMES | 29.7% | 3.36 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | CONCERTO | 15.1% | 6.61 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | FLYING SILVER | 14.1% | 7.09 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 7.5% | 13.32 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT | 7.3% | 13.61 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | M UNICORN | 6.9% | 14.56 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | AMAZING BOY | 5.7% | 17.49 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE | 5.1% | 19.61 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | KASA PAPA | 3.9% | 25.94 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | SPANGLE FORTUNE | 2.0% | 49.43 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | WINNING DATA | 1.8% | 55.29 | 2 |
| 12 | 0 | MULTIWIN | 0.8% | 122.38 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 63.5
PLACE
8 14.5
10 113.5
11 21.5
QUINELLA
10,11 1,506
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 281
8,11 48.5
10,11 381.5
FORECAST
11,10 2,539
TIERCE
11,10,8 12,438
TRIO
8,10,11 1,351
FIRST 4
7,8,10,11 4,051
QUARTET
11,10,8,7 127,476
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
7/7/10 2,672
7/7/11 1,814
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,7,8/8,10,11 289,719
4TH DOUBLE
7/10 345
7/11 388