Happy Valley · 2023-09-27 · 19:46
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY ANGEL Closed strongly B 1.49.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 1 | 3.3 | N |
| 2 | 0 | WIN WIN FIGHTER Closed strongly B K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 5 | 4.4 | N |
| 3 | 0 | RIGHT AS RAIN Closed strongly B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 2 | 3.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | WONDER YEARS Closed strongly B/XB/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 4 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | AI ONE Closed strongly H/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 7 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | NICE BIRDIE Led early B/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 6 | 7.6 | 7-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | CIRCUIT ELITE B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 9.3 | 12-1/4 |
| — | 0 | TURQUOISE ALPHA H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2023-09-27 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. HAPPY ANGEL, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by P C Ng, won by N, with WIN WIN FIGHTER second and RIGHT AS RAIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite RIGHT AS RAIN finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY ANGEL | 43.8% | 2.28 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | RIGHT AS RAIN | 18.9% | 5.30 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 10.4% | 9.66 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | NICE BIRDIE | 8.4% | 11.94 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 6.9% | 14.40 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | WONDER YEARS | 6.9% | 14.53 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | AI ONE | 4.7% | 21.16 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 33
PLACE
3 15.5
4 14
7 11.5
QUINELLA
4,7 75.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 25
3,7 24.5
4,7 28
FORECAST
7,4 128
TIERCE
7,4,3 328
TRIO
3,4,7 61
FIRST 4
2,3,4,7 125
QUARTET
7,4,3,2 1,907
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,7/3,4,7 3,795
2ND DOUBLE
7/4 24
7/7 82.5