Happy Valley · 2023-10-11 · 11:15
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2023-10-11 was Class 5 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. DIAMOND SOARS, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with MULTIMORE second and DASHING TRIUMPH third. The 2.9 favourite THETA HEDGE finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | DIAMOND SOARS TT 0.57.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 10 | 12.0 | N |
| 2 | 3 | MULTIMORE TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 5 | 9.6 | N |
| 3 | 7 | DASHING TRIUMPH B1/TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 6 | 16.0 | N |
| 4 | 8 | HAR HAR AT HEART E A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 7 | 18.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | BELL OF VICTORY SR-/B2 K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 3 | 35.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | TRONIC MIGHTY V/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 9 | 3.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | HAPPY HORSE H/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 8 | 9.2 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | THETA HEDGE B/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 4 | 2.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | SIX BEST FRIENDS CP/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 1 | 23.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | GOOD BOY B/TT K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 2 | 9.9 | 5-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | THETA HEDGE | 25.8% | 3.88 | 8 |
| 2 | 5 | TRONIC MIGHTY | 19.6% | 5.10 | 6 |
| 3 | 3 | MULTIMORE | 15.1% | 6.61 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | DIAMOND SOARS | 8.4% | 11.94 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | HAR HAR AT HEART | 6.7% | 14.97 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | GOOD BOY | 6.2% | 16.17 | 10 |
| 7 | 6 | HAPPY HORSE | 5.1% | 19.43 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | SIX BEST FRIENDS | 4.9% | 20.59 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | DASHING TRIUMPH | 4.6% | 21.83 | 3 |
| 10 | 10 | BELL OF VICTORY | 3.6% | 27.48 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 123.5
PLACE
2 39.5
3 22
7 43.5
QUINELLA
2,3 499
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 147
2,7 257.5
3,7 214
FORECAST
2,3 980
TIERCE
2,3,7 20,176
TRIO
2,3,7 2,724
FIRST 4
2,3,7,8 7,669
QUARTET
2,3,7,8 172,310