Happy Valley · 2023-10-11 · 20:12
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | IVY LEAGUE Closed strongly H/SR/XB/TT 1.39.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 5 | 9.8 | N |
| 2 | 0 | TOURBILLON PRINCE Led early TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 12.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | ALL BEAUTY Closed strongly M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 16.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | WINNING DRAGON H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 7.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | COMET SPLENDIDO Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 10 | 4.9 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | CAPITAL LEGEND Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 3.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | STAR CONTACT CP/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 7 | 9.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | JUMBO FORTUNE PC/XB L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 2 | 9.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | BEAUTYVERSE H/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 9 | 11.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER B H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 3 | 26.0 | 9-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2023-10-11 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. IVY LEAGUE, ridden by K De Melo and trained by D J Whyte, won by N, with TOURBILLON PRINCE second and ALL BEAUTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite CAPITAL LEGEND finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | STAR CONTACT | 15.5% | 6.46 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | WINNING DRAGON | 12.7% | 7.86 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | ALL BEAUTY | 11.2% | 8.93 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | IVY LEAGUE | 11.1% | 8.98 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTYVERSE | 10.8% | 9.25 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 10.7% | 9.34 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 9.7% | 10.26 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 9.4% | 10.60 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 7.4% | 13.55 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 1.4% | 71.92 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 98
PLACE
3 42
6 41
8 31.5
QUINELLA
6,8 832
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 328
3,8 220.5
6,8 229
FORECAST
8,6 1,696
TIERCE
8,6,3 23,985
TRIO
3,6,8 4,242
FIRST 4
1,3,6,8 5,483
QUARTET
8,6,3,1 116,256
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
12/6 1,599
12/8 2,675