Happy Valley · 2023-10-11 · 19:41
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY HERO Closed strongly B 1.40.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 9 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI Closed strongly TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 2 | 3.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE Closed strongly K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 8 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 10 | 4.2 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | SMART BEAUTY Closed strongly B/H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 4 | 7.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | PERFECT ROCK H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 3 | 76.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 6 | 10.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | EAGLE RUN CP/SR/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 5 | 7.4 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | BRAVE AND BOLD L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 7 | 28.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | CHIRON CP/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 1 | 9.5 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | STAR OF GLORY Led early B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 11 | 36.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR CP/H/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 12 | 26.0 | 18-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-10-11 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY HERO, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by M Newnham, won by 1-1/2, with HAPPY JAI JAI second and FORTUNE TRIPLE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite HAPPY JAI JAI finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 36.2% | 2.76 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE | 13.7% | 7.31 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | CHIRON | 9.8% | 10.19 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | EAGLE RUN | 7.7% | 12.97 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 7.1% | 14.02 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | SMART BEAUTY | 6.4% | 15.66 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA | 4.2% | 23.84 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR | 3.4% | 29.57 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | STAR OF GLORY | 3.3% | 30.56 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | PERFECT ROCK | 3.1% | 32.68 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | BRAVE AND BOLD | 3.0% | 33.25 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | HAPPY HERO | 2.1% | 46.96 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 163.5
PLACE
3 15.5
10 37
12 52
QUINELLA
3,12 401.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 101
3,12 132.5
10,12 394.5
FORECAST
12,3 1,122
TIERCE
12,3,10 10,046
TRIO
3,10,12 1,872
FIRST 4
3,6,10,12 1,300
QUARTET
12,3,10,6 42,050
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
2/3 93.5
2/12 3,987
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,7/3,10,12 1,356,031