Happy Valley · 2023-11-22 · 11:45
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-11-22 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SPLENDID STAR, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1-1/2, with LOYAL AMBITION second and REGENCY HAPPY STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SPLENDID STAR Closed strongly TT1 1.40.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 3 | 4.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | LOYAL AMBITION Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 9.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR Closed strongly CP/H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 7 | 9.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE Closed strongly Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 9 | 9.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | PRECISION GOAL Led early P-/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 11 | 40.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | FORTUNE MASTER Closed strongly B/XB/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 6 | 35.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 1 | CORDYCEPS ONE L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 8 | 7.3 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | UNITED ENDEAVORS Closed strongly H/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 12 | 25.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | SUPER JOY CP-/B1/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 1 | 6.6 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | GET THE MONIES B1 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 6.7 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | NICE BIRDIE TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 5 | 12.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | PERFECT ROCK M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 2 | 57.0 | 16-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SPLENDID STAR | 22.6% | 4.43 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | GET THE MONIES | 13.8% | 7.24 | 10 |
| 3 | 3 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 10.6% | 9.42 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | NICE BIRDIE | 9.7% | 10.32 | 11 |
| 5 | 11 | SUPER JOY | 8.2% | 12.14 | 9 |
| 6 | 1 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 7.4% | 13.45 | 7 |
| 7 | 10 | FORTUNE MASTER | 7.1% | 14.02 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR | 5.2% | 19.18 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 4.7% | 21.38 | 7 |
| 10 | 8 | PRECISION GOAL | 3.8% | 26.64 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | PERFECT ROCK | 3.7% | 27.05 | 12 |
| 12 | 9 | LOYAL AMBITION | 3.1% | 31.87 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 40
PLACE
5 16
7 33.5
9 24.5
QUINELLA
5,9 172
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 104.5
5,9 55
7,9 206
FORECAST
5,9 305
TIERCE
5,9,7 3,761
TRIO
5,7,9 936
FIRST 4
3,5,7,9 1,259
QUARTET
5,9,7,3 24,518
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/5 522
1/9 365.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,7/5,7,9 440,214