Happy Valley · 2023-11-22 · 12:20
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2023-11-22 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. M UNICORN, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by 1, with SURE JOYFUL second and HAPPY ANGEL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | M UNICORN Closed strongly H/P/TT 1.40.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 2.2 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | SURE JOYFUL Closed strongly M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 7 | 12.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | HAPPY ANGEL Closed strongly B K De Melo · P C Ng | K De Melo | P C Ng | 3 | 6.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | OUR LUCKY GLORY Closed strongly SR/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 5 | 37.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | CLUB SODA Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 2 | 7.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | PALACE PAL Closed strongly V A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 6 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | RED HARE KING TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 11 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | GALLANT CROWN B M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 26.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM Closed strongly H/XB/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 9 | 64.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | MASTER TORNADO B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 1 | 10.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | CAN'T GO WONG Closed strongly V/TT L Hewitson · F C Lor | L Hewitson | F C Lor | 10 | 109.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | CONCERTO Led early XB/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 12 | 32.0 | 8-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | M UNICORN | 22.6% | 4.43 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | HAPPY ANGEL | 14.3% | 7.01 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | MASTER TORNADO | 14.3% | 7.01 | 10 |
| 4 | 10 | PALACE PAL | 12.2% | 8.22 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | CONCERTO | 7.2% | 13.98 | 12 |
| 6 | 11 | SURE JOYFUL | 6.4% | 15.67 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | CLUB SODA | 6.2% | 16.15 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | RED HARE KING | 5.7% | 17.42 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 5.6% | 17.99 | 4 |
| 10 | 12 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM | 3.3% | 30.29 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | CAN'T GO WONG | 1.3% | 75.01 | 11 |
| 12 | 1 | GALLANT CROWN | 1.1% | 93.23 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 22
PLACE
8 12.5
9 20
11 32
QUINELLA
8,11 132.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 32
8,11 57.5
9,11 110.5
FORECAST
8,11 221
TIERCE
8,11,9 911
TRIO
8,9,11 235
FIRST 4
2,8,9,11 1,528
QUARTET
8,11,9,2 12,143
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
5/8 86
5/11 154.5