Happy Valley · 2023-11-22 · 14:20
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2023-11-22 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. QUANTUM PATCH, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P C Ng, won by 2-1/4, with E LEGEND second and STORM LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | QUANTUM PATCH Closed strongly 1.39.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 7 | 3.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 6 | E LEGEND Closed strongly M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 3 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | STORM LEGEND Closed strongly L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 5 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | FOOLISH HEART M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 4 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | PRIME MINISTER Closed strongly K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 1 | 7.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | OUTGATE H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 10 | 8.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 9 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | RED ACLAIM TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 2 | 51.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | KIMBERLEY Closed strongly B/TT L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 11 | 81.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | RED MAJESTY B/TT M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 6 | 34.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | EIGHTEEN PALMS B/TT1 C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 12 | 8.9 | 14 |
| 12 | 3 | ALL IS GOOD Led early B Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 8 | 6.5 | 29-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ALL IS GOOD | 28.1% | 3.56 | 12 |
| 2 | 10 | EIGHTEEN PALMS | 16.6% | 6.03 | 11 |
| 3 | 2 | OUTGATE | 13.0% | 7.71 | 6 |
| 4 | 12 | QUANTUM PATCH | 10.9% | 9.15 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | MALDIVES | 6.2% | 16.13 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | E LEGEND | 5.6% | 17.84 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | RED MAJESTY | 5.0% | 20.10 | 10 |
| 8 | 1 | PRIME MINISTER | 4.5% | 22.34 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | FOOLISH HEART | 4.2% | 23.86 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | STORM LEGEND | 3.6% | 27.65 | 3 |
| 11 | 7 | RED ACLAIM | 1.8% | 55.65 | 8 |
| 12 | 4 | KIMBERLEY | 0.5% | 196.16 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 31.5
PLACE
5 36
6 27.5
12 14.5
QUINELLA
6,12 155
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 155
5,12 68
6,12 61
FORECAST
12,6 235
TIERCE
12,6,5 1,887
TRIO
5,6,12 532
FIRST 4
5,6,11,12 1,183
QUARTET
12,6,5,11 15,172
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
4/6 274.5
4/12 378