Happy Valley · 2023-11-29 · 20:13
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WONDER YEARS Closed strongly B/XB/TT 2.16.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 8 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | JUBILATION Closed strongly V A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 1 | 5.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 5 | 31.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | AI ONE Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 4 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | FLYING SILVER B-/TT J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 6 | 7.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | KASA PAPA TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | VINCY Closed strongly SR/TT L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 11 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | DARCI JOY B/TT Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 2 | 6.8 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS Closed strongly B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 7 | 9.2 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SUNNY BABY Led early M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 9 | 27.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 3 | 3.0 | 11-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2023-11-29 was Class 4 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. WONDER YEARS, ridden by K De Melo and trained by D J Whyte, won by 3/4, with JUBILATION second and SUPER HONG KONG third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite KYRUS UNICORN finished 11th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN | 27.0% | 3.71 | 11 |
| 2 | 0 | JUBILATION | 20.5% | 4.87 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | VINCY | 9.1% | 10.96 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | DARCI JOY | 7.7% | 12.92 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | AI ONE | 7.5% | 13.27 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | KASA PAPA | 7.0% | 14.19 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 6.7% | 14.88 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | FLYING SILVER | 6.2% | 16.09 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | WONDER YEARS | 3.1% | 31.92 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | SUNNY BABY | 3.1% | 32.32 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG | 1.9% | 52.38 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 157
PLACE
2 76
6 42.5
11 21.5
QUINELLA
6,11 384
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 487.5
2,11 253.5
6,11 132
FORECAST
6,11 938
TIERCE
6,11,2 21,592
TRIO
2,6,11 3,948
FIRST 4
2,6,9,11 8,853
QUARTET
6,11,2,9 181,179
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
5/6 419
5/11 35