Happy Valley · 2023-11-29 · 20:41
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TURTLE AGAIN Closed strongly B/TT 1.50.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 1 | 4.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | GOLD STERLING Closed strongly TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 8 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | DIAMOND WINNER Closed strongly H A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 7 | 77.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | COLOURFUL BARON Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 11 | 5.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | JOYFUL CHAMPION Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 3 | 7.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | VIVA A LA Led early P/TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 4 | 9.7 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY HERO Closed strongly B L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 10 | 6.3 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE Closed strongly M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 5 | 8.1 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | GOLDEN FAIRY B K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 2 | 15.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | TRAVEL GUIDE B/XB2/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 9 | 62.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | MIGHTY STAR B/H/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 12 | 18.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI B/XB B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 6 | 8.9 | 11-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2023-11-29 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. TURTLE AGAIN, ridden by K C Leung and trained by T P Yung, won by 2-3/4, with GOLD STERLING second and DIAMOND WINNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TURTLE AGAIN | 17.5% | 5.72 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | VIVA A LA | 13.3% | 7.50 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 11.6% | 8.62 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | COLOURFUL BARON | 10.9% | 9.21 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY HERO | 10.0% | 10.04 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI | 9.1% | 10.95 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 8.2% | 12.13 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 7.8% | 12.87 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | MIGHTY STAR | 6.1% | 16.44 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | GOLD STERLING | 3.2% | 31.68 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | TRAVEL GUIDE | 1.7% | 57.20 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | DIAMOND WINNER | 0.6% | 156.53 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 48
PLACE
4 51
7 18
9 214.5
QUINELLA
4,7 563.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 139.5
4,9 1,326
7,9 822
FORECAST
7,4 908
TIERCE
7,4,9 28,051
TRIO
4,7,9 7,838
FIRST 4
4,5,7,9 16,460
QUARTET
7,4,9,5 311,963
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,11/4,7,9 1,163,080
3RD DOUBLE
6/4 365.5
6/7 636