Happy Valley · 2023-11-29 · 22:18
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHILL CHIBI Closed strongly TT 1.49.20 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 6 | 2.1 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | ROMANTIC LAOS Closed strongly H/TT J McDonald · W K Mo | J McDonald | W K Mo | 3 | 9.1 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | FRANTANCK K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 5 | 5.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | ESCAPE ROUTE Closed strongly H B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 10 | 27.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | LEAN HERO B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 8 | 8.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | GALLANT HERO Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 16.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | S J TOURBILLON Closed strongly CP/SR/XB/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 27.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MAJESTIC VICTORY Led early TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | BIG RED XB1 Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 4 | 9.7 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | SURUGA BAY B1 M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 1 | 55.0 | 16-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2023-11-29 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. CHILL CHIBI, ridden by C L Chau and trained by C S Shum, won by 1, with ROMANTIC LAOS second and FRANTANCK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHILL CHIBI | 23.0% | 4.35 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 21.8% | 4.59 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | BIG RED | 16.4% | 6.08 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | FRANTANCK | 9.3% | 10.73 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | GALLANT HERO | 9.2% | 10.88 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | MAJESTIC VICTORY | 7.0% | 14.34 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | LEAN HERO | 5.2% | 19.13 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | SURUGA BAY | 3.3% | 30.50 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 2.5% | 39.39 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | S J TOURBILLON | 2.3% | 43.98 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 21.5
PLACE
1 12
3 26
10 18
QUINELLA
1,3 98.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 41
1,10 27.5
3,10 61.5
FORECAST
1,3 156
TIERCE
1,3,10 637
TRIO
1,3,10 148
FIRST 4
1,2,3,10 609
QUARTET
1,3,10,2 7,164
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
3/1 117
3/3 79