Happy Valley · 2023-11-29 · 13:50
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-11-29 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. WATCH BUDDY, ridden by A Badel and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with SUPER EAGLE second and GALLANT VALOUR third. Victory came as the 4.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | WATCH BUDDY CP- 1.10.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 1 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | SUPER EAGLE E-/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 5 | 17.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | GALLANT VALOUR B1/TT1 B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 10 | 16.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | TELECOM SPEED L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 12 | 24.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | EXUBERANT B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 11 | 7.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | WINNING HEART B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 33.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | KASI FARASI B K De Melo · C H Yip | K De Melo | C H Yip | 9 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER B A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 4 | 7.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | HERO STAR TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 2 | 9.5 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | REGENT GLORY Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 6 | 4.5 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | HAPPY FAT CAT CP/TT J McDonald · W K Mo | J McDonald | W K Mo | 3 | 10.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | SIGHT VICTORY H1 K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 7 | 18.0 | 7-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | REGENT GLORY | 21.8% | 4.58 | 10 |
| 2 | 3 | WATCH BUDDY | 18.2% | 5.50 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | EXUBERANT | 10.2% | 9.77 | 5 |
| 4 | 8 | HERO STAR | 9.6% | 10.47 | 9 |
| 5 | 7 | SIGHT VICTORY | 9.1% | 11.03 | 12 |
| 6 | 1 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 8.9% | 11.19 | 11 |
| 7 | 12 | SUPER EAGLE | 5.0% | 19.92 | 2 |
| 8 | 9 | KASI FARASI | 4.7% | 21.36 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 4.6% | 21.97 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | TELECOM SPEED | 4.2% | 23.70 | 4 |
| 11 | 10 | GALLANT VALOUR | 2.2% | 46.28 | 3 |
| 12 | 4 | WINNING HEART | 1.6% | 64.25 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 42
PLACE
3 17
10 47.5
12 44
QUINELLA
3,12 320
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 156.5
3,12 112.5
10,12 423.5
FORECAST
3,12 583
TIERCE
3,12,10 8,955
TRIO
3,10,12 1,959
FIRST 4
3,6,10,12 8,464
QUARTET
3,12,10,6 142,063
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,8/3,10,12 557,755
5TH DOUBLE
1/3 257
1/12 179.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,7,9/Any Combination/Any Combination 1,411