Happy Valley · 2024-01-04 · 11:20
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2024-01-04 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY INFINITY, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by J Size, won by 3/4, with KING ECCELLENTE second and HAPPY FEELING third. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAUTY INFINITY 1.09.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 2 | 2.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | KING ECCELLENTE SR/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 3 | 6.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | HAPPY FEELING B-/SR-/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 1 | 71.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | GOLDEN LONG TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 7 | 2.7 | 6-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 6 | 10.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | SUPER AXIOM H/P/XB2/TT- Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 8 | 33.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | ACE TALENT H/TT L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 4 | 10.0 | 21-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | SPICY SO SMART B/XB H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 5 | 15.0 | 28-3/4 |
| — | 7 | LADY BILLIE A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAUTY INFINITY | 25.4% | 3.93 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | GOLDEN LONG | 22.6% | 4.42 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR | 18.1% | 5.53 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | KING ECCELLENTE | 14.4% | 6.92 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | SPICY SO SMART | 7.4% | 13.46 | 8 |
| 6 | 9 | ACE TALENT | 7.3% | 13.70 | 7 |
| 7 | 2 | SUPER AXIOM | 4.0% | 24.90 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | HAPPY FEELING | 0.7% | 142.24 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 25
PLACE
3 18
5 10.1
6 118
QUINELLA
3,5 67
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 24.5
3,6 374
5,6 306
FORECAST
5,3 113
TIERCE
5,3,6 3,995
TRIO
3,5,6 1,122
FIRST 4
1,3,5,6 406
QUARTET
5,3,6,1 11,040