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Happy Valley · 2024-01-04 · 19:11

Race 1

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course A 8 runners

Result

Official · 1.09.87
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 BEAUTY INFINITY 1.09.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · J Size 2 2.5 3/4
2 0 KING ECCELLENTE SR/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte 3 6.7 3/4
3 0 HAPPY FEELING B-/SR-/TT A Hamelin · J Richards 1 71.0 4
4 0 GOLDEN LONG TT M Chadwick · F C Lor 7 2.7 6-1/2
5 0 TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR TT C L Chau · C S Shum 6 10.0 8-3/4
6 0 SUPER AXIOM H/P/XB2/TT- Y L Chung · Y S Tsui 8 33.0 10-1/2
7 0 ACE TALENT H/TT L Hewitson · C Fownes 4 10.0 21-1/2
8 0 SPICY SO SMART B/XB H Bentley · P C Ng 5 15.0 28-3/4
— 0 LADY BILLIE A Badel · W K Mo — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2024-01-04 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY INFINITY, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by J Size, won by 3/4, with KING ECCELLENTE second and HAPPY FEELING third. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BEAUTY INFINITY—2. KING ECCELLENTE+0.75L3. HAPPY FEELING+4L4. GOLDEN LONG+6.5L5. TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR+8.75L6. SUPER AXIOM+10.5L7. ACE TALENT+21.5L8. SPICY SO SMART+28.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick BEAUTY INFINITY (25.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 BEAUTY INFINITY 25.4% 3.93 1
2 0 GOLDEN LONG 22.6% 4.42 4
3 0 TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR 18.1% 5.53 5
4 0 KING ECCELLENTE 14.4% 6.92 2
5 0 SPICY SO SMART 7.4% 13.46 8
6 0 ACE TALENT 7.3% 13.70 7
7 0 SUPER AXIOM 4.0% 24.90 6
8 0 HAPPY FEELING 0.7% 142.24 3
BEAUTY INFINITY — wonGOLDEN LONGTRIUMPHANT WARRIORKING ECCELLENTESPICY SO SMARTACE TALENTSUPER AXIOMHAPPY FEELING

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 25

PLACE

3 18

5 10.1

6 118

QUINELLA

3,5 67

QUINELLA PLACE

3,5 24.5

3,6 374

5,6 306

FORECAST

5,3 113

TIERCE

5,3,6 3,995

TRIO

3,5,6 1,122

FIRST 4

1,3,5,6 406

QUARTET

5,3,6,1 11,040