Happy Valley · 2024-01-04 · 13:55
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2024-01-04 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. GALLANT WAKING, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with MOMENTS IN TIME second and THESIS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite M UNICORN finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GALLANT WAKING Closed strongly 1.40.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 6.4 | N |
| 2 | 1 | MOMENTS IN TIME TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 2 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 7 | THESIS Closed strongly TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 1 | 5.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | M UNICORN Closed strongly H/P/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 4 | 2.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | IVY LEAGUE H/SR/XB/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 7 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | WINNING DRAGON H/B1/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 3 | 23.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | PRIME MINISTER Closed strongly TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 11 | 35.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE CP/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 8 | 110.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | FOOLISH HEART V K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 5 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | VIVA HUNTER Led early TT H T Mo · K L Man | H T Mo | K L Man | 9 | 35.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | TRADITION B1 K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 6 | 36.0 | 6 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | THESIS | 33.5% | 2.99 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | M UNICORN | 20.2% | 4.94 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | GALLANT WAKING | 8.4% | 11.88 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 8.3% | 11.99 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | TRADITION | 6.8% | 14.67 | 11 |
| 6 | 10 | FOOLISH HEART | 6.0% | 16.68 | 9 |
| 7 | 5 | IVY LEAGUE | 5.7% | 17.64 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | WINNING DRAGON | 4.6% | 21.87 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | PRIME MINISTER | 2.9% | 33.93 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | VIVA HUNTER | 2.9% | 34.29 | 10 |
| 11 | 6 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE | 0.6% | 167.27 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 64.5
PLACE
1 26
4 19
7 16.5
QUINELLA
1,4 310.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 101
1,7 90
4,7 52.5
FORECAST
4,1 483
TIERCE
4,1,7 2,604
TRIO
1,4,7 392
FIRST 4
1,4,7,11 168
QUARTET
4,1,7,11 6,290
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
9,10,12/1,4,7 34,878
5TH DOUBLE
12/1 86.5
12/4 214
TRIPLE TRIO
7,10,11/9,10,12/1,4,7 3,735,167
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
7,10,11/9,10,12/Any Combination 47,084