Happy Valley · 2024-01-04 · 14:25
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2024-01-04 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. BON'S A PEARLA, ridden by A Badel and trained by P C Ng, won by N, with BEAUTY WAVES second and SUPERB CAPITALIST third. The 2.1 favourite BEAUTY WAVES finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BON'S A PEARLA B 1.09.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 5 | 7.4 | N |
| 2 | 7 | BEAUTY WAVES XB/SR1 K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 1 | 2.1 | N |
| 3 | 3 | SUPERB CAPITALIST H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 21.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | RIGHTEOUS ARION H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 6.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE H-/TT C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 8 | 8.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | ACT OF FAITH B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 11 | 52.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | PARTERRE B L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 10 | 94.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | HOSS XB/B1/TT H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 9 | 36.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | ATOMIC FORCE H/XB L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 6 | 23.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | CHAMPION METHOD CP1/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 3 | 15.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | EXCELLENT FIGHTER B/TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 7 | 10.0 | 7 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | BEAUTY WAVES | 31.1% | 3.21 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE | 10.1% | 9.89 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | BON'S A PEARLA | 8.7% | 11.45 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 8.2% | 12.26 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | ATOMIC FORCE | 8.2% | 12.26 | 9 |
| 6 | 5 | EXCELLENT FIGHTER | 7.2% | 13.84 | 11 |
| 7 | 11 | CHAMPION METHOD | 7.0% | 14.30 | 10 |
| 8 | 3 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 6.7% | 14.99 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | ACT OF FAITH | 5.3% | 18.88 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | HOSS | 4.7% | 21.13 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | PARTERRE | 2.8% | 35.79 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 74
PLACE
3 54
4 20.5
7 13
QUINELLA
4,7 79.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 194
3,7 84
4,7 31
FORECAST
4,7 245
TIERCE
4,7,3 3,388
TRIO
3,4,7 404
FIRST 4
3,4,7,9 446
QUARTET
4,7,3,9 14,736
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
4/4 228
4/7 27.5