Happy Valley · 2024-01-04 · 12:20
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2024-01-04 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. CORDYCEPS ONE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with MEDIC ELITE second and ONE HEART ONE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite ONE HEART ONE finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CORDYCEPS ONE Closed strongly 1.41.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 8.8 | N |
| 2 | 9 | MEDIC ELITE Closed strongly PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 7 | 5.5 | N |
| 3 | 8 | ONE HEART ONE Closed strongly CP/XB/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 4 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | BIG TWO Closed strongly SR/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 11 | 24.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | JOYFUL CHAMPION B2/TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 2 | 8.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | ASIAN ONE Closed strongly PC-/XB/V2/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 10 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | HANG'S CHOICE Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 6 | 7.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | TACTICAL COMMAND Closed strongly M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 5 | 39.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | HAPPY HUNK H/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 50.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR CP/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 8.3 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | MISTER ARM Led early H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 18.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | HAPPY JAI JAI TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 11.0 | 14 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MEDIC ELITE | 19.9% | 5.02 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR | 13.1% | 7.64 | 10 |
| 3 | 7 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 13.0% | 7.67 | 12 |
| 4 | 12 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 12.4% | 8.07 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | ONE HEART ONE | 9.9% | 10.08 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | ASIAN ONE | 7.7% | 12.95 | 6 |
| 7 | 10 | HANG'S CHOICE | 7.4% | 13.50 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 6.2% | 16.20 | 1 |
| 9 | 2 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 3.7% | 26.72 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | BIG TWO | 3.1% | 32.41 | 4 |
| 11 | 4 | HAPPY HUNK | 2.3% | 42.78 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | MISTER ARM | 1.2% | 86.35 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 88
PLACE
5 29.5
8 16.5
9 22
QUINELLA
5,9 293
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 71
5,9 95
8,9 56
FORECAST
5,9 714
TIERCE
5,9,8 2,621
TRIO
5,8,9 388
FIRST 4
1,5,8,9 2,084
QUARTET
5,9,8,1 50,008
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
10/5 458.5
10/9 56