Happy Valley · 2024-01-04 · 20:11
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CORDYCEPS ONE Closed strongly 1.41.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 8.8 | N |
| 2 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE Closed strongly PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 7 | 5.5 | N |
| 3 | 0 | ONE HEART ONE Closed strongly CP/XB/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 4 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | BIG TWO Closed strongly SR/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 11 | 24.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | JOYFUL CHAMPION B2/TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 2 | 8.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | ASIAN ONE Closed strongly PC-/XB/V2/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 10 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | HANG'S CHOICE Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 6 | 7.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | TACTICAL COMMAND Closed strongly M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 5 | 39.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | HAPPY HUNK H/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 50.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR CP/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 8.3 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | MISTER ARM Led early H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 18.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 11.0 | 14 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2024-01-04 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. CORDYCEPS ONE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with MEDIC ELITE second and ONE HEART ONE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite ONE HEART ONE finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE | 19.9% | 5.02 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR | 13.1% | 7.64 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 13.0% | 7.67 | 12 |
| 4 | 0 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 12.4% | 8.07 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | ONE HEART ONE | 9.9% | 10.08 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | ASIAN ONE | 7.7% | 12.95 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | HANG'S CHOICE | 7.4% | 13.50 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 6.2% | 16.20 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 3.7% | 26.72 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | BIG TWO | 3.1% | 32.41 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY HUNK | 2.3% | 42.78 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | MISTER ARM | 1.2% | 86.35 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 88
PLACE
5 29.5
8 16.5
9 22
QUINELLA
5,9 293
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 71
5,9 95
8,9 56
FORECAST
5,9 714
TIERCE
5,9,8 2,621
TRIO
5,8,9 388
FIRST 4
1,5,8,9 2,084
QUARTET
5,9,8,1 50,008
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
10/5 458.5
10/9 56