Happy Valley · 2024-01-04 · 20:41
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SURE JOYFUL Closed strongly 1.41.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 8 | 6.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | WIN WIN FIGHTER Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 6.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | AMAZING BOY Closed strongly B2/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 2 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | KASA PAPA Closed strongly TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 9.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPERB MOVE Led early B/TT Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 11 | 21.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | NOBLE WIN E/XB A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 4 | 6.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | DRAGON STAR V/XB K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 5 | 3.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | PRINCE ALEX SR/XB/TT A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 6 | 8.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | STRONGEST BOY B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 9 | 7.9 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 3 | 32.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | KILLER INSTINCT TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 10 | 40.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | MERCHANT PRINCE V/TT K H Chan · J Richards | K H Chan | J Richards | 12 | 137.0 | 6-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2024-01-04 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SURE JOYFUL, ridden by M F Poon and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with WIN WIN FIGHTER second and AMAZING BOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite DRAGON STAR finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DRAGON STAR | 24.1% | 4.15 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 18.1% | 5.52 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | STRONGEST BOY | 8.5% | 11.74 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | NOBLE WIN | 8.1% | 12.31 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | PRINCE ALEX | 7.4% | 13.54 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | KASA PAPA | 7.3% | 13.75 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | SURE JOYFUL | 7.3% | 13.77 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | AMAZING BOY | 5.9% | 16.89 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPERB MOVE | 4.9% | 20.43 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT | 4.2% | 23.65 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | KILLER INSTINCT | 3.5% | 28.25 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | MERCHANT PRINCE | 0.7% | 153.24 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 66.5
PLACE
7 22.5
10 22.5
11 60
QUINELLA
7,10 249.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,10 85
7,11 209
10,11 260.5
FORECAST
10,7 459
TIERCE
10,7,11 10,837
TRIO
7,10,11 1,941
FIRST 4
3,7,10,11 3,543
QUARTET
10,7,11,3 79,685
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,8,9/7,10,11 99,492
3RD DOUBLE
5/7 58
5/10 989