Happy Valley · 2024-01-04 · 15:00
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2024-01-04 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. MAJESTIC KNIGHT, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D J Whyte, won by HD, with WONDER KIT second and HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE third. The 3.4 favourite SON PAK FU finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT B 1.09.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 3 | 4.3 | HD |
| 2 | 8 | WONDER KIT CP L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 2 | 8.9 | HD |
| 3 | 1 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 1 | 3.8 | N |
| 4 | 2 | SON PAK FU BO C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 3.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | WINNING ICEY TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 5 | 20.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 12 | 64.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | GOKO WIN B A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 10 | 27.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | MAJESTIC STAR TT A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 6 | 24.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | NORDIC DRAGON TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 9 | 15.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | DREAM WINNER CP C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 8 | 15.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | IMA SINGLE MAN H/B2/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 30.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 5 | ASTROLOGER SR K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 11 | 79.0 | 9-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 19.6% | 5.11 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | WONDER KIT | 15.2% | 6.57 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE | 13.9% | 7.21 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | SON PAK FU | 13.2% | 7.57 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | MAJESTIC STAR | 9.8% | 10.25 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | DREAM WINNER | 6.0% | 16.69 | 10 |
| 7 | 3 | NORDIC DRAGON | 5.7% | 17.68 | 9 |
| 8 | 11 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 4.3% | 23.22 | 11 |
| 9 | 9 | WINNING ICEY | 3.8% | 26.22 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 3.7% | 26.92 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | GOKO WIN | 3.5% | 28.66 | 7 |
| 12 | 5 | ASTROLOGER | 1.4% | 70.74 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 43.5
PLACE
1 14.5
6 16.5
8 26
QUINELLA
6,8 145
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 30.5
1,8 54.5
6,8 51
FORECAST
6,8 258
TIERCE
6,8,1 758
TRIO
1,6,8 119
FIRST 4
1,2,6,8 68
QUARTET
6,8,1,2 2,187
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
4/4/6 1,061
4/4/8 329
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,7/1,6,8 9,335
7TH DOUBLE
4/6 367.5
4/8 108.5
SIX UP
5,9/7,10/10,12/1,4/4,7/6,8 3,842
5/10/12/4/4/6 584,759
1 [D J Whyte] —
1 [K Teetan] —