Happy Valley · 2024-01-04 · 11:55
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-01-04 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SHINKANSEN, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1-1/4, with TRAVEL GOLF second and COLONEL third. The 4.1 favourite MY INTELLIGENT finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SHINKANSEN H/SR/TT 1.10.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 4 | 5.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | TRAVEL GOLF B2/TT B Avdulla · C H Yip | B Avdulla | C H Yip | 2 | 4.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | COLONEL V H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 10 | 6.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | HAPPY SOUL CP/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 8 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | ROYAL PRIDE B/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | MY INTELLIGENT V/TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 1 | 4.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | FLYING PHANTOM H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 7 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | YOUTH POWER H1 K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 5 | 81.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | NEW POWER H A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 9 | 31.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | LUCKY SYMPHONY TT1 A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 6 | 6.5 | 7-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SHINKANSEN | 17.9% | 5.59 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | MY INTELLIGENT | 17.2% | 5.81 | 6 |
| 3 | 2 | ROYAL PRIDE | 13.5% | 7.38 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | TRAVEL GOLF | 11.4% | 8.79 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | HAPPY SOUL | 10.2% | 9.84 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | FLYING PHANTOM | 9.6% | 10.43 | 7 |
| 7 | 5 | LUCKY SYMPHONY | 7.2% | 13.96 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | NEW POWER | 6.7% | 14.90 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | COLONEL | 5.5% | 18.27 | 3 |
| 10 | 1 | YOUTH POWER | 0.8% | 118.01 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 58
PLACE
3 17
9 29
10 19.5
QUINELLA
3,10 129
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 51
3,10 49
9,10 81
FORECAST
10,3 264
TIERCE
10,3,9 2,314
TRIO
3,9,10 424
FIRST 4
3,6,9,10 717
QUARTET
10,3,9,6 10,269
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
5/3 20
5/10 131.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,6/3,9,10 45,992