Sha Tin · 2024-03-31 · 08:12
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-03-31 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SUPERB KID, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 2, with BEAUTY MISSILE second and BEAUTY FIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SUPERB KID Closed strongly CP 1.22.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 6 | 2.4 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | BEAUTY MISSILE Closed strongly PC K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 5 | 3.3 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | BEAUTY FIT Led early E/P A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 10 | 9.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | CITY THUNDER Closed strongly B-/TT1 L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 9 | 186.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | MIDORI BURLY Closed strongly XB-/B1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 12 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 3 | 14.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | LEEDOX Closed strongly B1/TT K De Melo · M Newnham | K De Melo | M Newnham | 11 | 187.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | HUGE WAVE TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 1 | 8.3 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | ORIENTAL SMOKE B/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 7 | 29.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | SUNNY DARLING V/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 4 | 45.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | ALL IS GOOD B C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 2 | 20.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | SATIRICAL FAN B1 K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 8 | 69.0 | 27-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SUPERB KID | 38.0% | 2.63 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 19.2% | 5.21 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS | 9.5% | 10.52 | 6 |
| 4 | 12 | MIDORI BURLY | 6.8% | 14.64 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | HUGE WAVE | 5.9% | 16.85 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 5.9% | 16.98 | 9 |
| 7 | 8 | BEAUTY FIT | 5.3% | 19.02 | 3 |
| 8 | 9 | SATIRICAL FAN | 2.6% | 37.80 | 12 |
| 9 | 2 | ALL IS GOOD | 2.5% | 40.30 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | SUNNY DARLING | 2.3% | 44.37 | 10 |
| 11 | 6 | LEEDOX | 1.1% | 89.76 | 7 |
| 12 | 5 | CITY THUNDER | 0.9% | 115.97 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 24
PLACE
4 11
8 27
11 14.5
QUINELLA
4,11 37.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 41
4,11 19
8,11 52
FORECAST
4,11 75
TIERCE
4,11,8 338
TRIO
4,8,11 91
FIRST 4
4,5,8,11 2,256
QUARTET
4,11,8,5 13,987
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
3/4 45
3/11 14.5