Sha Tin · 2024-03-31 · 15:11
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LUCKY GOLD Closed strongly B 1.22.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 8 | 25.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | FLYING MOJITO Closed strongly V/XB/TT H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 4 | 6.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | FORERUNNER Closed strongly TT A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 10 | 87.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SMART FIGHTER TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 12 | 5.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | DARING PURSUIT TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 9 | 9.5 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | SETANTA Closed strongly B2/TT M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 1 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | CHEONG FAT Closed strongly H/PC L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 11 | 29.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GOLDEN RISE Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 2.6 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 5 | 76.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | GAMEPLAYER WARRIOR XB L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 6 | 134.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | GIMME FIVE Led early K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 13 | 24.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | BEAUTY GLORY CP/H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 7 | 17.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | BRAVE WITNESS TT K De Melo · C S Shum | K De Melo | C S Shum | 2 | 12.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 0 | TEAM HAPPY B K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 14 | 100.0 | 10 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-03-31 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. LUCKY GOLD, ridden by C L Chau and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/2, with FLYING MOJITO second and FORERUNNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite GOLDEN RISE finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOLDEN RISE | 24.3% | 4.12 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | FLYING MOJITO | 12.3% | 8.15 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | SMART FIGHTER | 11.1% | 8.99 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | DARING PURSUIT | 9.2% | 10.82 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | SETANTA | 8.0% | 12.48 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY GLORY | 7.9% | 12.66 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | GIMME FIVE | 7.0% | 14.33 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | BRAVE WITNESS | 5.6% | 17.82 | 13 |
| 9 | 0 | LUCKY GOLD | 5.0% | 19.89 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT | 2.7% | 36.42 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | CHEONG FAT | 2.6% | 38.08 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | FORERUNNER | 2.1% | 48.49 | 3 |
| 13 | 0 | TEAM HAPPY | 1.4% | 69.26 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | GAMEPLAYER WARRIOR | 0.7% | 142.79 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 255
PLACE
4 20.5
6 157.5
11 52.5
QUINELLA
4,11 690.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 809.5
4,11 178
6,11 1,849.5
FORECAST
11,4 1,621
TIERCE
11,4,6 105,726
TRIO
4,6,11 15,838
FIRST 4
4,6,10,11 19,387
QUARTET
11,4,6,10 669,641
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
5/14/4 359
5/14/11 12,686
4TH DOUBLE
14/4 72
14/11 1,304