沙田 · 2024-03-31 · 07:12
第 5場
2024-03-31沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、K W Lui訓練的LUCKY GOLD勝出，贏出1-1/2。FLYING MOJITO獲得亞軍；FORERUNNER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.6倍大熱門GOLDEN RISE跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | LUCKY GOLD 後段發力 B 1.22.87 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 8 | 25.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | FLYING MOJITO 後段發力 V/XB/TT H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 4 | 6.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | FORERUNNER 後段發力 TT A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 10 | 87.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | SMART FIGHTER TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 12 | 5.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | DARING PURSUIT TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 9 | 9.5 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | SETANTA 後段發力 B2/TT M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 1 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 13 | CHEONG FAT 後段發力 H/PC L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 11 | 29.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | GOLDEN RISE Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 2.6 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 14 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT 後段發力 B/TT Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 5 | 76.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | GAMEPLAYER WARRIOR XB L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 6 | 134.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | GIMME FIVE 早段領放 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 13 | 24.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | BEAUTY GLORY CP/H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 7 | 17.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 12 | BRAVE WITNESS TT K De Melo · C S Shum | K De Melo | C S Shum | 2 | 12.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 8 | TEAM HAPPY B K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 14 | 100.0 | 10 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GOLDEN RISE | 24.3% | 4.12 | 8 |
| 2 | 4 | FLYING MOJITO | 12.3% | 8.15 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | SMART FIGHTER | 11.1% | 8.99 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | DARING PURSUIT | 9.2% | 10.82 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | SETANTA | 8.0% | 12.48 | 6 |
| 6 | 1 | BEAUTY GLORY | 7.9% | 12.66 | 12 |
| 7 | 9 | GIMME FIVE | 7.0% | 14.33 | 11 |
| 8 | 12 | BRAVE WITNESS | 5.6% | 17.82 | 13 |
| 9 | 11 | LUCKY GOLD | 5.0% | 19.89 | 1 |
| 10 | 14 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT | 2.7% | 36.42 | 9 |
| 11 | 13 | CHEONG FAT | 2.6% | 38.08 | 7 |
| 12 | 6 | FORERUNNER | 2.1% | 48.49 | 3 |
| 13 | 8 | TEAM HAPPY | 1.4% | 69.26 | 14 |
| 14 | 7 | GAMEPLAYER WARRIOR | 0.7% | 142.79 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 255
PLACE
4 20.5
6 157.5
11 52.5
QUINELLA
4,11 690.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 809.5
4,11 178
6,11 1,849.5
FORECAST
11,4 1,621
TIERCE
11,4,6 105,726
TRIO
4,6,11 15,838
FIRST 4
4,6,10,11 19,387
QUARTET
11,4,6,10 669,641
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
5/14/4 359
5/14/11 12,686
4TH DOUBLE
14/4 72
14/11 1,304