沙田 · 2024-03-31 · 07:42
第 6場
2024-03-31沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、F C Lor訓練的VOYAGE SAMURAI勝出，贏出1-1/4。WAR OF COURAGE獲得亞軍；TOP TOP TEA獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。頭馬以2.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | VOYAGE SAMURAI 一路領先 1.23.00 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 4 | 2.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 8 | WAR OF COURAGE B K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 9 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | TOP TOP TEA 後段發力 Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 3 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | SIXTH GENERATION 後段發力 B/H/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 1 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | CHILLI BABA 後段發力 V A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 12 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 14 | NOBLE WIN 後段發力 E/XB B Thompson · J Size | B Thompson | J Size | 2 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | GOLDEN DARCI P/XB H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 6 | 6.3 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | PATCH OF TIME K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 14 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | RIVER VIEWS C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 34.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | JUMBO FORTUNE 後段發力 PC/XB B Avdulla · P C Ng | B Avdulla | P C Ng | 7 | 15.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | VERBIER H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 13 | 131.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 4 | FOREVER CHARM B1/TT A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 5 | 111.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | YOUTH POWER TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 120.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 7 | FIREFOOT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 8 | 182.0 | 14 |
| — | 0 | BEAUTY CHAMP H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | PACKING WISHER Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GOLDEN DARCI | 20.0% | 4.99 | 7 |
| 2 | 3 | VOYAGE SAMURAI | 17.3% | 5.77 | 1 |
| 3 | 14 | NOBLE WIN | 11.1% | 9.03 | 6 |
| 4 | 8 | WAR OF COURAGE | 10.7% | 9.38 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | PATCH OF TIME | 8.7% | 11.53 | 8 |
| 6 | 12 | CHILLI BABA | 7.9% | 12.66 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | TOP TOP TEA | 6.1% | 16.44 | 3 |
| 8 | 9 | RIVER VIEWS | 4.7% | 21.50 | 9 |
| 9 | 6 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 4.2% | 23.99 | 10 |
| 10 | 1 | SIXTH GENERATION | 3.2% | 31.45 | 4 |
| 11 | 4 | FOREVER CHARM | 2.0% | 49.77 | 12 |
| 12 | 2 | VERBIER | 1.9% | 52.43 | 11 |
| 13 | 13 | YOUTH POWER | 1.6% | 61.61 | 13 |
| 14 | 7 | FIREFOOT | 0.7% | 141.61 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 20
PLACE
3 10.5
8 50.5
10 43.5
QUINELLA
3,8 173
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 74.5
3,10 68
8,10 333.5
FORECAST
3,8 268
TIERCE
3,8,10 2,492
TRIO
3,8,10 850
FIRST 4
1,3,8,10 2,174
QUARTET
3,8,10,1 25,615
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,11/3,8,10 1,085,887
5TH DOUBLE
11/3 706.5
11/8 1,142.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,9,14/Any Combination/Any Combination 310