沙田 · 2024-03-31 · 05:17
第 2場
2024-03-31沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K De Melo策騎、W Y So訓練的SMART LEADER勝出，贏出1-1/4。COMMANDING MISSILE獲得亞軍；GOOD VIEW GLORY獲得季軍。3.2倍大熱門NOBLE ONE跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SMART LEADER PC/XB/TT 1.09.83 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 2 | 6.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | COMMANDING MISSILE B-/H- C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 7 | 28.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | GOOD VIEW GLORY B Thompson · C H Yip | B Thompson | C H Yip | 11 | 122.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | TIMESTORM V H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 10 | 5.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | RATTAN WORLD B/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 12 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | SWEET DIAMOND TT A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 14 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | NOBLE ONE B Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 1 | 3.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 14 | GREAT DAYS PC-/H/XB/P2 K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 6 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | THE GOOD DEAL SR/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 9 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | HO HO STAR TT- M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 8 | 20.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 13 | DRAGON KINGDOM Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 5 | 12.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | E GLORY B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 14.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 4 | E TALENT B/TT1 K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 4 | 159.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | DAY DAY RICH B/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 13 | 28.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | NOBLE ONE | 38.1% | 2.62 | 7 |
| 2 | 7 | SWEET DIAMOND | 10.2% | 9.77 | 6 |
| 3 | 14 | GREAT DAYS | 8.1% | 12.32 | 8 |
| 4 | 6 | SMART LEADER | 8.0% | 12.54 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | TIMESTORM | 7.8% | 12.86 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | RATTAN WORLD | 5.8% | 17.14 | 5 |
| 7 | 13 | DRAGON KINGDOM | 4.7% | 21.14 | 11 |
| 8 | 1 | E GLORY | 4.6% | 21.70 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | THE GOOD DEAL | 4.3% | 23.50 | 9 |
| 10 | 12 | DAY DAY RICH | 2.7% | 36.52 | 14 |
| 11 | 9 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 2.2% | 46.12 | 2 |
| 12 | 5 | HO HO STAR | 1.7% | 59.32 | 10 |
| 13 | 10 | GOOD VIEW GLORY | 1.3% | 74.58 | 3 |
| 14 | 4 | E TALENT | 0.4% | 234.56 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 65
PLACE
6 19
9 70.5
10 248.5
QUINELLA
6,9 898.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 248
6,10 778
9,10 2,864
FORECAST
6,9 1,735
TIERCE
6,9,10 80,360
TRIO
6,9,10 25,915
FIRST 4
6,9,10,11 25,916
QUARTET
6,9,10,11 1,197,313
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
8/6 162.5
8/9 164.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
8,10,13/6,9,10 882,939