沙田 · 2024-03-31 · 04:47
第 1場
2024-03-31沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、D A Hayes訓練的YOUNG HORIZON勝出，贏出1-3/4。PERFECT PEACH獲得亞軍；MASTER OF ALL獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | YOUNG HORIZON 後段發力 1.22.27 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 6 | 2.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | PERFECT PEACH 後段發力 H-/B/TT L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 12 | 24.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 13 | MASTER OF ALL B1/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 5 | 25.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | BEAT HOLLOW 早段領放 Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 3 | 9.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 14 | TSUEN WAN GLORY H/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 1 | 4.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | SPEEDSTAR 後段發力 B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 11 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | CHARMANDER 後段發力 B/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 8 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | SUNNY SHINES 後段發力 E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 10 | 126.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | RIGHT HONOURABLE 後段發力 B/XB B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 13 | 69.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | FIRE BALL CP H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 14 | 21.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | HEARTY WISH B2 L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 4 | 13.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | HERO ICON TT H Bowman · W K Mo | H Bowman | W K Mo | 7 | 17.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 1 | PATCH OF WATCH SR K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 2 | 52.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 4 | PLENTY PLENTY H-/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 185.0 | 41 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | YOUNG HORIZON | 32.2% | 3.11 | 1 |
| 2 | 14 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 15.1% | 6.64 | 5 |
| 3 | 12 | HERO ICON | 9.5% | 10.56 | 12 |
| 4 | 5 | HEARTY WISH | 8.5% | 11.76 | 11 |
| 5 | 3 | BEAT HOLLOW | 8.2% | 12.16 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | SPEEDSTAR | 5.2% | 19.39 | 6 |
| 7 | 11 | CHARMANDER | 5.1% | 19.55 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | PERFECT PEACH | 4.8% | 20.66 | 2 |
| 9 | 9 | FIRE BALL | 3.9% | 25.53 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 2.2% | 45.11 | 9 |
| 11 | 13 | MASTER OF ALL | 1.8% | 55.72 | 3 |
| 12 | 1 | PATCH OF WATCH | 1.3% | 74.34 | 13 |
| 13 | 4 | PLENTY PLENTY | 1.2% | 81.41 | 14 |
| 14 | 2 | SUNNY SHINES | 1.0% | 103.74 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 21
PLACE
8 13
10 57.5
13 65
QUINELLA
8,10 271
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 98
8,13 113
10,13 748.5
FORECAST
8,10 291
TIERCE
8,10,13 6,734
TRIO
8,10,13 2,027
FIRST 4
3,8,10,13 3,564
QUARTET
8,10,13,3 44,542