Sha Tin · 2024-03-31 · 12:46
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | YOUNG HORIZON Closed strongly 1.22.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 6 | 2.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | PERFECT PEACH Closed strongly H-/B/TT L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 12 | 24.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | MASTER OF ALL B1/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 5 | 25.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | BEAT HOLLOW Led early Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 3 | 9.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | TSUEN WAN GLORY H/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 1 | 4.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SPEEDSTAR Closed strongly B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 11 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | CHARMANDER Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 8 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SUNNY SHINES Closed strongly E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 10 | 126.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE Closed strongly B/XB B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 13 | 69.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | FIRE BALL CP H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 14 | 21.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | HEARTY WISH B2 L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 4 | 13.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | HERO ICON TT H Bowman · W K Mo | H Bowman | W K Mo | 7 | 17.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | PATCH OF WATCH SR K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 2 | 52.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | PLENTY PLENTY H-/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 185.0 | 41 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-03-31 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. YOUNG HORIZON, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-3/4, with PERFECT PEACH second and MASTER OF ALL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | YOUNG HORIZON | 32.2% | 3.11 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 15.1% | 6.64 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | HERO ICON | 9.5% | 10.56 | 12 |
| 4 | 0 | HEARTY WISH | 8.5% | 11.76 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAT HOLLOW | 8.2% | 12.16 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | SPEEDSTAR | 5.2% | 19.39 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | CHARMANDER | 5.1% | 19.55 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | PERFECT PEACH | 4.8% | 20.66 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | FIRE BALL | 3.9% | 25.53 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 2.2% | 45.11 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | MASTER OF ALL | 1.8% | 55.72 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | PATCH OF WATCH | 1.3% | 74.34 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | PLENTY PLENTY | 1.2% | 81.41 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | SUNNY SHINES | 1.0% | 103.74 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 21
PLACE
8 13
10 57.5
13 65
QUINELLA
8,10 271
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 98
8,13 113
10,13 748.5
FORECAST
8,10 291
TIERCE
8,10,13 6,734
TRIO
8,10,13 2,027
FIRST 4
3,8,10,13 3,564
QUARTET
8,10,13,3 44,542