沙田 · 2024-03-31 · 06:19
第 4場
2024-03-31沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、W Y So訓練的PROSECCO勝出，贏出1/2。RED ELEGANCE獲得亞軍；GLORY ELITE獲得季軍。頭馬以4.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | PROSECCO SR/V/TT 0.56.78 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 11 | 4.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | RED ELEGANCE CP-/B1/TT- M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 7 | 8.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | GLORY ELITE H1 K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 6 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | MULTISUPER CP-/B2/TT1 L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 1 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | PARENTS' LOVE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 7.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | GUSTY FIGHTER P1/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 13 | 42.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | THE PERFECT MATCH TT1 Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 7.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | FLYING PHANTOM H B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 4 | 20.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | MATSU VICTOR M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 8 | 46.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | METRO WARRIOR CP H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 9 | 4.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | SUPER COMMANDER V-/TT- B Thompson · C H Yip | B Thompson | C H Yip | 14 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | KOWLOON EAST STAR H/SR/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 2 | 20.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 11 | FANCY STAR P/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 3 | 54.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 2 | THE GREAT MASTER H/TT E C W Wong · Y S Tsui | E C W Wong | Y S Tsui | 10 | 23.0 | 14 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | THE PERFECT MATCH | 26.6% | 3.76 | 7 |
| 2 | 14 | PROSECCO | 11.2% | 8.96 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | MULTISUPER | 9.1% | 10.94 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | METRO WARRIOR | 8.9% | 11.26 | 10 |
| 5 | 8 | FLYING PHANTOM | 8.1% | 12.34 | 8 |
| 6 | 6 | MATSU VICTOR | 7.4% | 13.52 | 9 |
| 7 | 10 | PARENTS' LOVE | 7.0% | 14.29 | 5 |
| 8 | 13 | KOWLOON EAST STAR | 4.9% | 20.42 | 12 |
| 9 | 9 | GLORY ELITE | 4.3% | 23.32 | 3 |
| 10 | 1 | SUPER COMMANDER | 4.2% | 23.80 | 11 |
| 11 | 4 | RED ELEGANCE | 3.2% | 31.14 | 2 |
| 12 | 2 | THE GREAT MASTER | 2.0% | 49.58 | 14 |
| 13 | 12 | GUSTY FIGHTER | 1.8% | 55.04 | 6 |
| 14 | 11 | FANCY STAR | 1.3% | 77.70 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 43
PLACE
4 29.5
9 51.5
14 17
QUINELLA
4,14 220.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 251.5
4,14 79.5
9,14 142.5
FORECAST
14,4 470
TIERCE
14,4,9 6,363
TRIO
4,9,14 1,266
FIRST 4
4,5,9,14 4,319
QUARTET
14,4,9,5 60,560
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,5/4,9,14 9,576
3RD DOUBLE
5/4 84
5/14 298