沙田 · 2024-03-31 · 09:54
第 10場
2024-03-31沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、T P Yung訓練的JAMES TAK勝出，贏出1/2。IMA SINGLE MAN獲得亞軍；KAHOLO ANGEL獲得季軍。2.2倍大熱門GORGEOUS WIN跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | JAMES TAK 1.09.26 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 4.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | IMA SINGLE MAN V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 17.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | KAHOLO ANGEL TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 5 | 8.9 | 3 |
| 4 | 13 | GOLDEN LONG TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 4 | 8.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | FLOOF K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 2 | 48.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | LET'S DO IT CP A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 10 | 27.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | STELLAR SWIFT TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 6 | 13.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | NOT USUAL STAR H/TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 14 | 52.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 1 | GORGEOUS WIN TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 2.2 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | ARMOUR EAGLE PC-/XB/B2/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 13 | 99.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | PINS PRINCE H/P/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 9 | 87.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | TURIN STARSPANGLED H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 8 | 39.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 14 | MEGA BONUS V B Thompson · P F Yiu | B Thompson | P F Yiu | 3 | 105.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 14 | 6 | SUPER FORTUNE H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 12 | 35.0 | 17-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GORGEOUS WIN | 40.0% | 2.50 | 9 |
| 2 | 7 | JAMES TAK | 16.7% | 6.00 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | KAHOLO ANGEL | 11.8% | 8.45 | 3 |
| 4 | 13 | GOLDEN LONG | 7.6% | 13.21 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | TURIN STARSPANGLED | 4.7% | 21.12 | 12 |
| 6 | 6 | SUPER FORTUNE | 3.0% | 33.89 | 14 |
| 7 | 9 | STELLAR SWIFT | 2.9% | 34.60 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | NOT USUAL STAR | 2.6% | 38.48 | 8 |
| 9 | 2 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 2.6% | 38.88 | 2 |
| 10 | 10 | PINS PRINCE | 2.4% | 40.86 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | LET'S DO IT | 1.9% | 51.37 | 6 |
| 12 | 4 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 1.5% | 65.60 | 10 |
| 13 | 11 | FLOOF | 1.2% | 81.05 | 5 |
| 14 | 14 | MEGA BONUS | 1.1% | 93.17 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 43
PLACE
2 42
7 16
8 24
QUINELLA
2,7 396
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 139.5
2,8 148
7,8 52.5
FORECAST
7,2 842
TIERCE
7,2,8 2,710
TRIO
2,7,8 450
FIRST 4
2,7,8,13 807
QUARTET
7,2,8,13 17,849
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
3/3/2 2,523
3/3/7 7,479
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,8/2,7,8 74,541
9TH DOUBLE
3/2 109.5
3/7 445
SIX UP
4,11/3,8/4,11/3,9/3,5/2,7 91,519
11/3/4/3/3/7 1,612,273
1 [Z Purton] —
11 [W Y So] —