沙田 · 2024-03-31 · 09:18
第 9場
2024-03-31沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由Y L Chung策騎、P C Ng訓練的FRANTANCK勝出，贏出1/2。FLAGSHIP WARRIOR獲得亞軍；BEATO獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。4.2倍大熱門WINNING DATA跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FRANTANCK 一路領先 1.35.72 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 4 | 7.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR 後段發力 B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 14 | 14.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | BEATO 後段發力 V/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 7 | 6.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | WINNING DATA B K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 3 | 4.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | TALENTS AMBITION 後段發力 XB/B1 H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 11 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | FLAMINGO TRILLION K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 5.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | ROMANTIC CHARM 後段發力 V/TT K De Melo · C S Shum | K De Melo | C S Shum | 1 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 14 | EXCEL WONGCHOY A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 13 | 127.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | KA YING SUPERB H1/P1/TT1 M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 9 | 47.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | SILVER UP B/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 8 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | I AM THE BOSS B-/XB2 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 10 | 61.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | AFFORDABLE TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 12 | 163.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 1 | FALLON B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 6 | 10.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 4 | SUMMIT IMPACT B-/CP1/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 2 | 212.0 | 14-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | WINNING DATA | 24.7% | 4.05 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | FRANTANCK | 13.2% | 7.55 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | BEATO | 12.4% | 8.06 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | ROMANTIC CHARM | 8.9% | 11.26 | 7 |
| 5 | 9 | SILVER UP | 8.1% | 12.30 | 10 |
| 6 | 5 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR | 7.8% | 12.90 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 6.7% | 14.88 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | FALLON | 5.3% | 18.76 | 13 |
| 9 | 12 | TALENTS AMBITION | 4.2% | 23.97 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | KA YING SUPERB | 2.3% | 42.58 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | AFFORDABLE | 2.2% | 45.02 | 12 |
| 12 | 2 | I AM THE BOSS | 1.9% | 52.13 | 11 |
| 13 | 14 | EXCEL WONGCHOY | 1.7% | 59.71 | 8 |
| 14 | 4 | SUMMIT IMPACT | 0.5% | 196.26 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 71.5
PLACE
3 25.5
5 50
8 23
QUINELLA
3,5 595
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 179.5
3,8 83.5
5,8 162
FORECAST
3,5 1,094
TIERCE
3,5,8 6,293
TRIO
3,5,8 1,181
FIRST 4
3,5,8,13 1,012
QUARTET
3,5,8,13 33,468
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
3/3 1,973.5
3/5 688.5