沙田 · 2024-03-31 · 08:44
第 8場
2024-03-31沙田第8場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由E C W Wong策騎、C H Yip訓練的PHOENIX LIGHT勝出，贏出3/4。AWESOME TREASURE獲得亞軍；STORMING DRAGON獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門KING MILES跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PHOENIX LIGHT H 1.09.99 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 5 | 22.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | AWESOME TREASURE TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 35.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | STORMING DRAGON TT1 Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 3 | 5.3 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | KING MILES H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 1 | 3.4 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | LUCY IN THE SKY H1 K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 10 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 14 | STRATHPEFFER B H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 2 | 4.7 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | SUNNY DA BEST TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 13 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | KING OBERON H L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 12 | 72.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | SUPER UNICORN TT1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 120.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | SUPER LEGENDS B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 4 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | SEA SAPPHIRE PC A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 9 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | CRAZY TREASURE B B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 7 | 18.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 1 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 14 | 11 | MULTIDARLING TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 14 | 125.0 | 5-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | STORMING DRAGON | 30.8% | 3.25 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | KING MILES | 11.3% | 8.84 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | SUPER LEGENDS | 10.5% | 9.51 | 10 |
| 4 | 5 | LUCY IN THE SKY | 6.1% | 16.38 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | SUPER UNICORN | 6.0% | 16.77 | 9 |
| 6 | 14 | STRATHPEFFER | 5.6% | 17.75 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 5.5% | 18.30 | 13 |
| 8 | 10 | SEA SAPPHIRE | 5.3% | 18.92 | 11 |
| 9 | 3 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 4.2% | 24.00 | 1 |
| 10 | 7 | SUNNY DA BEST | 4.1% | 24.45 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | AWESOME TREASURE | 3.8% | 26.43 | 2 |
| 12 | 11 | MULTIDARLING | 2.7% | 36.73 | 14 |
| 13 | 12 | KING OBERON | 2.1% | 46.96 | 8 |
| 14 | 13 | CRAZY TREASURE | 2.0% | 48.80 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 228.5
PLACE
3 61
6 20
9 85.5
QUINELLA
3,9 3,248.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 177.5
3,9 775
6,9 300.5
FORECAST
3,9 5,907
TIERCE
3,9,6 39,945
TRIO
3,6,9 6,784
FIRST 4
3,4,6,9 4,630
QUARTET
3,9,6,4 259,611
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,11/3,6,9 150,394
7TH DOUBLE
4/3 637
4/9 156