Happy Valley · 2024-07-04 · 18:40
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LITTLE FAIRY Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 2 | 5.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | DRAGON DELIGHT B/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 10 | 8.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | TATTENHAM Closed strongly H A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 3 | 6.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | THE KHAN H/SR B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 1 | 2.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | YEABOI Led early V-/B2/TT L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 5 | 27.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | HAPPIHOOD Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · W K Mo | M L Yeung | W K Mo | 4 | 18.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | PODIUM B-/P1/TT- K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 6 | 31.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | COLOURFUL BARON Closed strongly B2/TT A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 9 | 11.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | VULCANUS Closed strongly B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 12 | 39.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | HANG'S CHOICE B/TT B Thompson · W Y So | B Thompson | W Y So | 7 | 28.0 | 22-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | BEAU GOSSE B/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 8.1 | 24-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | DRAGON PRIDE C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 40.0 | 24-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2024-07-04 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. LITTLE FAIRY, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/4, with DRAGON DELIGHT second and TATTENHAM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite THE KHAN finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | TATTENHAM | 20.2% | 4.94 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 14.2% | 7.02 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | THE KHAN | 11.8% | 8.49 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | BEAU GOSSE | 9.8% | 10.21 | 11 |
| 5 | 8 | COLOURFUL BARON | 8.6% | 11.65 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | YEABOI | 7.8% | 12.86 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | LITTLE FAIRY | 7.2% | 13.83 | 1 |
| 8 | 11 | HAPPIHOOD | 6.3% | 15.87 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | DRAGON PRIDE | 4.7% | 21.09 | 12 |
| 10 | 3 | VULCANUS | 4.7% | 21.19 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | HANG'S CHOICE | 3.0% | 33.54 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | PODIUM | 1.6% | 61.82 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 59
PLACE
1 19.5
2 21
7 25
QUINELLA
1,7 293
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 68.5
1,7 95
2,7 85
FORECAST
1,7 590
TIERCE
1,7,2 3,633
TRIO
1,2,7 549
FIRST 4
1,2,4,7 243
QUARTET
1,7,2,4 9,186