Happy Valley · 2024-07-04 · 14:18
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2024-07-04 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. ZOOM BOOM, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D J Whyte, won by 3/4, with STAR CONTACT second and RED HARE KING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ZOOM BOOM Closed strongly XB 1.40.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 3 | 2.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | STAR CONTACT Closed strongly CP-/B2/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 5 | 5.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | RED HARE KING TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 11 | 5.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY Closed strongly TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 10 | 43.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | FORTUNATE SON Closed strongly B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 2 | 38.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | JOLLY RULER Closed strongly CP/TT A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 1 | 9.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | AESTHETICISM Closed strongly B L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 4 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | CAPITAL LEGEND Led early TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 12 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | JUMBO LEGEND Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 7 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 12 | EXUBERANT Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 8 | 75.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | JOYFUL HUNTER XB A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 6 | 24.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | WRITTEN CASA B-/V1/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 9 | 92.0 | 12-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ZOOM BOOM | 14.9% | 6.73 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | RED HARE KING | 14.0% | 7.15 | 3 |
| 3 | 11 | JUMBO LEGEND | 12.4% | 8.09 | 9 |
| 4 | 5 | STAR CONTACT | 11.9% | 8.41 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | AESTHETICISM | 10.2% | 9.77 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 9.4% | 10.69 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | JOLLY RULER | 9.0% | 11.06 | 6 |
| 8 | 4 | JOYFUL HUNTER | 5.7% | 17.50 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY | 4.1% | 24.23 | 4 |
| 10 | 3 | FORTUNATE SON | 4.0% | 24.76 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | EXUBERANT | 3.8% | 26.58 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | WRITTEN CASA | 0.6% | 158.02 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 28.5
PLACE
1 21
2 12.5
5 18.5
QUINELLA
2,5 91.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 40.5
1,5 53
2,5 33.5
FORECAST
2,5 152
TIERCE
2,5,1 430
TRIO
1,2,5 89
FIRST 4
1,2,5,8 1,181
QUARTET
2,5,1,8 12,051
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
10/2 648
10/5 207.5