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Happy Valley · 2024-07-04 · 22:17

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD 1650m Course A 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.40.42
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 ZOOM BOOM Closed strongly XB 1.40.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · D J Whyte 3 2.8 3/4
2 5 STAR CONTACT Closed strongly CP-/B2/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes 5 5.4 3/4
3 1 RED HARE KING TT H Bowman · A S Cruz 11 5.8 3/4
4 8 GLORIOUS JOURNEY Closed strongly TT M F Poon · F C Lor 10 43.0 1-3/4
5 3 FORTUNATE SON Closed strongly B Avdulla · D J Whyte 2 38.0 2-1/4
6 6 JOLLY RULER Closed strongly CP/TT A Hamelin · P F Yiu 1 9.6 2-1/4
7 7 AESTHETICISM Closed strongly B L Hewitson · P C Ng 4 10.0 3-1/4
8 9 CAPITAL LEGEND Led early TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 12 10.0 3-1/2
9 11 JUMBO LEGEND Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · C Fownes 7 10.0 4
10 12 EXUBERANT Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum 8 75.0 5
11 4 JOYFUL HUNTER XB A Atzeni · K W Lui 6 24.0 6-1/4
12 10 WRITTEN CASA B-/V1/TT B Thompson · J Richards 9 92.0 12-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2024-07-04 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. ZOOM BOOM, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D J Whyte, won by 3/4, with STAR CONTACT second and RED HARE KING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ZOOM BOOM—2. STAR CONTACT+0.75L3. RED HARE KING+0.75L4. GLORIOUS JOURNEY+1.75L5. FORTUNATE SON+2.25L6. JOLLY RULER+2.25L7. AESTHETICISM+3.25L8. CAPITAL LEGEND+3.5L9. JUMBO LEGEND+4L10. EXUBERANT+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick ZOOM BOOM (14.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 ZOOM BOOM 14.9% 6.73 1
2 1 RED HARE KING 14.0% 7.15 3
3 11 JUMBO LEGEND 12.4% 8.09 9
4 5 STAR CONTACT 11.9% 8.41 2
5 7 AESTHETICISM 10.2% 9.77 7
6 9 CAPITAL LEGEND 9.4% 10.69 8
7 6 JOLLY RULER 9.0% 11.06 6
8 4 JOYFUL HUNTER 5.7% 17.50 11
9 8 GLORIOUS JOURNEY 4.1% 24.23 4
10 3 FORTUNATE SON 4.0% 24.76 5
11 12 EXUBERANT 3.8% 26.58 10
12 10 WRITTEN CASA 0.6% 158.02 12
ZOOM BOOM — wonRED HARE KINGJUMBO LEGENDSTAR CONTACTAESTHETICISMCAPITAL LEGENDJOLLY RULERJOYFUL HUNTERGLORIOUS JOURNEYFORTUNATE SONEXUBERANTWRITTEN CASA

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 28.5

PLACE

1 21

2 12.5

5 18.5

QUINELLA

2,5 91.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 40.5

1,5 53

2,5 33.5

FORECAST

2,5 152

TIERCE

2,5,1 430

TRIO

1,2,5 89

FIRST 4

1,2,5,8 1,181

QUARTET

2,5,1,8 12,051

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

10/2 648

10/5 207.5